2026 United States Senate election in Alaska
November 3, 2026
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| Elections in Alaska |
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The 2026 United States Senate election in Alaska will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Alaska. A jungle primary election will be held on August 18, 2026, from which the top four candidates will advance to the general election, which will be conducted under ranked-choice voting.
Incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan, having been re-elected in 2020 with 53.9% of the vote,[1] has declared his re-election bid. Former U.S. Representative from Alaska's at-large congressional district Mary Peltola has also expressed interest in running for this seat.[2] Alaska has been represented in the U.S. Senate exclusively by Republicans since 2015.
Candidates
Republican Party
Declared
- Dan Sullivan, incumbent U.S. Senator[3]
Filed paperwork
- Christopher Miklos[4]
Democratic Party
Declared
- Ann Diener, sales executive at the Fairbanks Daily News-Miner[5]
Potential
- Mary Peltola, former U.S. Representative from Alaska's at-large congressional district (2022–2025)[6]
Green Party
Declared
- Richard Grayson, author and perennial candidate[7]
Independents
Filed paperwork
Primary election
Endorsements
Dan Sullivan (R)
- U.S. presidents
- Donald Trump, 45th and 47th president of the United States (2017–2021, 2025–present)[9]
Fundraising
| Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2025 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Dan Sullivan (R) | $5,984,000 | $1,955,654 | $4,760,089 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[10] | |||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Inside Elections[11] | Solid R | August 12, 2025 |
| The Cook Political Report[12] | Solid R | October 14, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe R | August 12, 2025 |
| Race To The WH[14] | Tilt R | October 21, 2025 |
Polling
Hypothetical polling
Dan Sullivan vs. Mary Peltola
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Dan Sullivan (R) |
Mary Peltola (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress (D)[15] | October 17–23, 2025 | 823 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 46% | 5%[b] | 4% |
| Alaska Survey Research[16] | October 10–15, 2025 | 1,708 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | – | 6% |
| Alaska Survey Research[17] | July 29 – August 1, 2025 | 1,623 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 42% | – | 11% |
| Data for Progress (D)[18] | July 21–27, 2025 | 678 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 5%[c] | 4% |
| Alaska Survey Research[19] | April 21–25, 2023 | 1,261 (LV) | – | 41% | 44% | – | 15% |
Notes
References
- ^ Axelrod, Tal; Budryk, Zack (November 11, 2020). "Sullivan wins reelection in Alaska, giving Republicans 50 seats in Senate". The Hill – via MSN.
- ^ "Peltola ties congressional loss to 'timing and luck,' and eyes future plans with a laugh". Yahoo News. December 5, 2024. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
- ^ Downing, Suzanne (March 22, 2025). "Breaking: Sen. Dan Sullivan formally announces his campaign for reelection". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved June 4, 2025.
- ^ "MIKLOS, CHRISTOPHER - Candidate overview". Federal Election Commission. January 1, 2019. Retrieved May 18, 2025.
- ^ Downing, Suzanne (July 21, 2025). "Democrats have their challenger for Sen. Dan Sullivan - and she works for an Alaska newspaper". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved September 19, 2025.
- ^ Herz, Nathaniel (July 15, 2025). "Dems are 'salivating' over a Peltola bid for Senate, but Alaska governor race could be 'wide open'". Alaska Beacon. Retrieved July 16, 2025.
- ^ Samuels, Iris (October 16, 2025). "Begich and Sullivan maintain fundraising efforts ahead of 2026 elections". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved October 25, 2025.
- ^ "Alaska Division of Elections, Candidates". October 14, 2025. Retrieved October 25, 2025.
- ^ "- Trump endorses Alaska US Senator Dan Sullivan".
- ^ "2026 Election United States Senate - Alaska". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved July 17, 2025.
- ^ Gonzales, Nathan L. "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
- ^ "2026 CPR Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
- ^ "2026 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
- ^ "2026 Senate Forecast". Race to the WH. Retrieved March 19, 2025.
- ^ Ruskin, Liz (October 31, 2025). "New poll shows Peltola neck-and-neck with Sullivan, if she were to run for U.S. Senate". Alaska Public Media. Retrieved November 1, 2025.
- ^ Sabbatini, Mark (October 22, 2025). "Poll: Peltola ahead of Sullivan in race that could decide control of US Senate". Juneau Independent. Retrieved October 23, 2025.
- ^ "2025 Summer Alaska Survey Report". Alaska Survey Research. August 22, 2025. Retrieved August 25, 2025.
- ^ "Mary Peltola Would Be Front-Runner for Alaska Governor". Data for Progress. August 8, 2025. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- ^ Downing, Suzanne (May 2, 2023). "New poll says Rep. Mary Peltola could take Sen. Dan Sullivan in 2026". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved May 8, 2025.
External links
- Official campaign websites