List of countries by rate of natural increase

The rate of natural increase (RNI) is the birth rate minus the death rate. It is typically expressed either as a number per 1,000 individuals in the population or as a percentage. RNI can be either positive or negative. It contrasts to total population change by ignoring net migration.

Countries and subnational areas

Rates are CIA World Factbook estimates of the number of births or deaths in 2024 per 1,000 people. These are also known as crude birth or death rates. The natural increase rate is calculated from the birth and death rates.

  • Note: Locations link to demographics pages.
List of countries and subnational areas by rate of natural increase
Location Rate per 1,000 people
Natural increase Crude births[1] Crude deaths[2]
 Niger 37.1 46.6 9.5
 Uganda 34.9 39.6 4.7
 Angola 33.5 41.1 7.6
 Benin 32.7 40.3 7.6
 Mali 31.9 40 8.1
 DR Congo 31.6 39.2 7.6
 Chad 30.2 39.2 9
 Burundi 28.9 34.6 5.7
 Guinea-Bissau 28.8 36 7.2
 Zambia 28.2 34.1 5.9
 South Sudan 27.5 36.4 8.9
 Tanzania 27.5 32.5 5
 Guinea 27.5 35.3 7.8
 Cameroon 27.3 34.7 7.4
 Sudan 27 33.1 6.1
 Mozambique 26.9 36.5 9.6
 Somalia 26.2 37.4 11.2
 Togo 25.8 30.9 5.1
 Nigeria 25.4 33.8 8.4
 Senegal 25.3 30.2 4.9
 Burkina Faso 24.6 31.9 7.3
 West Bank 24.5 27.8 3.3
 Timor-Leste 24.2 29.7 5.5
 Liberia 24.1 32.4 8.3
 Gaza Strip 23.9 26.8 2.9
 Congo 23.9 28.7 4.8
 Ethiopia 23.8 29.6 5.8
 Papua New Guinea 22.7 28.1 5.4
 Afghanistan 22.4 34.2 11.8
 Zimbabwe 22.3 28.8 6.5
 Malawi 22.1 26.6 4.5
 Sierra Leone 21.8 30.8 9
 Madagascar 21.8 27.6 5.8
 Ghana 21.7 27.6 5.9
 Gambia 21.7 27.3 5.6
 Tajikistan 21.1 25.8 4.7
 Kenya 20.7 25.6 4.9
 São Tomé and Príncipe 20.7 26.7 6
 Central African Republic 20.6 31.9 11.3
 Ivory Coast 20.2 27.5 7.3
 Gabon 20.2 25.7 5.5
 Equatorial Guinea 20.1 29 8.9
 Mauritania 20 27.2 7.2
 Eritrea 19.8 26.3 6.5
 Iraq 19.8 23.7 3.9
 Pakistan 19.6 25.5 5.9
 Rwanda 19.3 25 5.7
 Jordan 18.7 22.2 3.5
 Solomon Islands 18.1 22 3.9
 Oman 17.9 21.1 3.2
 Yemen 17.9 23.4 5.5
 Syria 17.7 21.7 4
 Namibia 17.2 24.3 7.1
 Marshall Islands 16.9 21.2 4.3
 Vanuatu 16.8 20.8 4
 Libya 16.8 20.3 3.5
 Guatemala 16.5 21.4 4.9
 Philippines 15.9 22.1 6.2
 Algeria 15.8 20.2 4.4
 Uzbekistan 15.4 20.5 5.1
 Comoros 15.2 21.6 6.4
 Egypt 15.2 19.5 4.3
 Kuwait 15.2 17.5 2.3
 Djibouti 14.8 21.8 7
 Tonga 14.7 19.7 5
 Honduras 14.5 19.9 5.4
 Tuvalu 14.2 22 7.8
 Israel 13.9 19.1 5.2
 Haiti 13.9 21.2 7.3
 Nauru 13.7 20.2 6.5
 Laos 13.6 19.8 6.2
 Micronesia 13.6 17.8 4.2
 Samoa 13.4 18.8 5.4
 Eswatini 12.9 22.3 9.4
 Kiribati 12.8 19.7 6.9
 Kyrgyzstan 12.7 18.7 6
 Belize 12.7 17.7 5
 Cambodia 12.5 18.2 5.7
 Cape Verde 12.2 17.9 5.7
 Lesotho 12.1 22.9 10.8
 Guam (US) 12 18.1 6.1
 Brunei 11.9 15.8 3.9
 Bangladesh 11.8 17.3 5.5
 Panama 11.7 17.4 5.7
 Nepal 11.4 17 5.6
 Nicaragua 11.3 16.4 5.1
 El Salvador 11.2 17.1 5.9
 Bolivia 11 17.6 6.6
 Paraguay 11 15.9 4.9
 Turkmenistan 10.8 16.8 6
 Maldives 10.8 15.1 4.3
 South Africa 10.8 17.7 6.9
 Botswana 10.7 19.6 8.9
 Ecuador 10.5 17.7 7.2
 Dominican Republic 10.2 17.3 7.1
 Morocco 10.2 16.8 6.6
 Venezuela 10.2 16.7 6.5
 Saudi Arabia 10.1 13.6 3.5
 Northern Mariana Islands (US) 10 15.7 5.7
 Guyana 9.7 16.7 7
 Fiji 9.4 15.9 6.5
 Bhutan 9.4 15.3 5.9
 Turks and Caicos Islands (UK) 9.4 13 3.6
 American Samoa (US) 9.4 15.7 6.3
 Bahrain 9.4 12.2 2.8
 Antigua and Barbuda 9.2 14.9 5.7
 Vietnam 9.1 14.9 5.8
 Saint Martin (France) 9.1 13.9 4.8
 Kazakhstan 9.1 17.2 8.1
 Iran 9 14.3 5.3
 United Arab Emirates 9 10.7 1.7
 Mongolia 8.5 14.9 6.4
 Burma 8.4 15.7 7.3
 Malaysia 8.4 14.2 5.8
 Suriname 8.2 14.9 6.7
 Jamaica 8.1 15.6 7.5
 Indonesia 8 14.8 6.8
 Argentina 7.9 15.2 7.3
 Mexico 7.8 14.3 6.5
 New Caledonia (France) 7.8 13.8 6
 Qatar 7.8 9.2 1.4
 Turkey 7.7 13.8 6.1
 Bahamas 7.5 13.1 5.6
 Kosovo 7.2 14.4 7.2
 French Polynesia (France) 7.2 13 5.8
 Anguilla (UK) 7.1 11.8 4.7
 India 7.1 16.2 9.1
 Tunisia 7.1 13.5 6.4
 Sri Lanka 7 14.5 7.5
 Lebanon 7 12.6 5.6
 Colombia 6.9 14.9 8
 Faroe Islands (Denmark) 6.3 14.9 8.6
 Brazil 6.2 13.2 7
 Iceland 6 12.6 6.6
 Montserrat 5.9 11.9 6
 Chile 5.8 12.4 6.6
 Wallis and Futuna (France) 5.8 11.8 6
 Peru 5.8 16.7 10.9
 Sint Maarten (Netherlands) 5.8 12.2 6.4
 New Zealand 5.7 12.6 6.9
 Costa Rica 5.5 10.8 5.3
 Cayman Islands (UK) 5.4 11.5 6.1
 British Virgin Islands (UK) 5.4 10.9 5.5
 Australia 5.4 12.2 6.8
 Dominica 5.2 13.3 8.1
 Gibraltar (UK) 5 13.7 8.7
 Grenada 4.9 13.3 8.4
 Albania 4.9 12.3 7.4
 Seychelles 4.8 11.8 7
 Azerbaijan 4.8 11.2 6.4
 Singapore 4.5 8.8 4.3
 Luxembourg 4.5 11.6 7.1
 Saint Kitts and Nevis 4.4 11.8 7.4
 Jersey 4.4 12.2 7.8
 Greenland (Denmark) 4.3 13.5 9.2
 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 4.2 11.9 7.7
 North Korea 4 13.2 9.2
 Curaçao (Netherlands) 4 12.9 8.9
 United States 3.7 12.2 8.5
 Ireland 3.7 11.1 7.4
 Macau (China) 3.7 8.6 4.9
 Uruguay 3.5 12.6 9.1
 Palau 3.2 11.6 8.4
 Cyprus 3.2 10.2 7
 Saint Lucia 3.1 11.4 8.3
 Aruba 2.8 11.6 8.8
 Cook Islands (New Zealand) 2.7 12.1 9.4
 Barbados 2.6 10.7 8.1
 China 2.5 10.2 7.7
 Liechtenstein 2.1 10.3 8.2
 Norway 2 10.4 8.4
 U.S. Virgin Islands (US) 1.9 11.1 9.2
 Trinidad and Tobago 1.9 10.5 8.6
 Thailand 1.9 9.9 8
 Canada 1.8 10 8.2
 Denmark 1.7 11.3 9.6
 United Kingdom 1.6 10.8 9.2
 Bermuda (UK) 1.6 10.9 9.3
 Switzerland 1.6 10.1 8.5
 Belgium 1.3 10.8 9.5
 Sweden 1.1 10.7 9.6
 Saint Helena, Ascension and Tristan da Cunha (UK) 1 9.3 8.3
 France 0.9 10.9 10
 Netherlands 0.9 10.6 9.7
 Armenia 0.9 10.5 9.6
 Mauritius 0.8 9.8 9
 Montenegro 0.6 10.9 10.3
 North Macedonia 0.6 10.2 9.6
 Malta 0.6 9.4 8.8
 Guernsey (UK) 0.5 9.7 9.2
 Cuba 0.4 9.9 9.5
 Isle of Man (UK) 0.2 10.4 10.2
 San Marino 0.1 9 8.9
 Saint Barthélemy (France) -0.2 9.3 9.5
 Finland -0.2 10.2 10.4
 South Korea -0.4 7 7.4
 Hong Kong (China) -0.5 7.6 8.1
 Austria -0.6 9.3 9.9
 Taiwan -0.8 7.3 8.1
 Slovakia -1.2 10 11.2
 Andorra -1.2 6.9 8.1
 Georgia -1.3 12 13.3
 Bosnia and Herzegovina -2.1 8.2 10.3
 Czech Republic -2.2 9.8 12
 Puerto Rico -2.4 7.8 10.2
 Slovenia -2.5 8 10.5
 Portugal -2.9 8 10.9
 Spain -2.9 7.1 10
 Germany -3.1 8.9 12
 Poland -3.8 8.4 12.2
 Italy -4.1 7.1 11.2
 Croatia -4.6 8.5 13.1
 Greece -4.6 7.4 12
 Monaco -4.6 6.5 11.1
 Belarus -5 8.3 13.3
 Estonia -5 8.2 13.2
 Japan -5 6.9 11.9
 Saint Pierre and Miquelon (France) -5.3 6.4 11.7
 Hungary -5.4 9.1 14.5
 Russia -5.6 8.4 14
 Moldova -5.8 8.4 14.2
 Serbia -6.1 8.8 14.9
 Romania -6.1 8.5 14.6
 Lithuania -6.3 8.9 15.2
 Bulgaria -6.3 7.9 14.2
 Latvia -6.4 8.3 14.7
 Ukraine -12.6 6 18.6

Summary by region

The table below assembles history and projections for the major regions shown. The numbers show total births minus total deaths per 1,000 population for the region for each time period. The first four columns show actual rate of natural increase. The remaining columns show projections using the medium fertility variant. All numbers are from the UN Population Division.[3]

Region 1950–55 1970–75 1990–95 2010–15 2015–20 2025–30 2035–40 2045–50
World +17.8 +19.5 +15.2 +11.9 +10.9 +8.7 +7.0 +5.6
Africa +21.5 +27.4 +26.1 +26.4 +25.3 +22.8 +20.6 +18.1
Asia +19.3 +22.8 +16.4 +10.7 +9.3 +6.3 +3.8 +1.8
Europe +10.3 +5.5 +0.3 −0.1 −0.7 −2.1 −2.8 −3.2
Latin America & The Caribbean +27.1 +25.8 +19.0 +11.9 +10.4 +7.5 +4.9 +2.8
Northern America +14.9 +6.4 +6.6 +4.2 +4.2 +3.5 +2.0 +1.1
Oceania +15.7 +14.5 +12.2 +10.5 +9.7 +8.0 +6.4 +5.3

See also

Notes

References

  1. ^ "The World Factbook — Central Intelligence Agency". www.cia.gov.
  2. ^ "The World Factbook — Central Intelligence Agency". www.cia.gov.
  3. ^ ""United Nations Population Div, World Population Prospects 2017, File: Rate of Natural Population Growth Rate". Archived from the original on 27 September 2016. Retrieved 23 June 2018.

See also

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