2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election

For related races, see 2025 United States gubernatorial elections.
2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election
November 4, 2025
Turnout51.44%[1] 10.94pp
 
Nominee Mikie Sherrill Jack Ciattarelli
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Dale Caldwell Jim Gannon
Popular vote 1,896,610 1,417,705
Percentage 56.88% 42.52%
Sherrill:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Ciattarelli:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
Governor before election

Phil Murphy
Democratic

Elected Governor

Mikie Sherrill
Democratic

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The 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2025, to elect the governor of New Jersey. Democratic congresswoman Mikie Sherrill defeated Republican former state assemblyman Jack Ciattarelli.[2][3][4] Incumbent Democratic governor Phil Murphy was term-limited.

Primary elections were held on June 10, 2025.[5] Sherrill won the Democratic nomination with 34% of the vote over a field of candidates that included Newark mayor Ras Baraka and Jersey City mayor Steven Fulop. Ciattarelli, the Republican nominee in 2021, won his second consecutive nomination with almost 68% of the vote over radio talk show host Bill Spadea.

Following a string of strong Republican performances in the state in 2021 and 2024, many analysts expected a close race. Some polls suggested the election was a toss-up.[6][7] However, Sherrill and the Democrats outperformed expectations and won in a landslide victory with a decisive margin of approximately 14.4%, considerably higher than Phil Murphy's winning margin of 3.2% over Ciattarelli in 2021 and even slightly larger than Murphy's 14.14% winning margin over Kim Guadagno in 2017, making it the widest Democratic margin since 2001, and the highest vote share for a Democratic nominee since 1989. Sherrill was the first Democratic gubernatorial candidate to win Morris County since 1973.[8] Sherrill also lost Hunterdon County by just single digits, the closest a Democratic nominee has come to winning the county since 1977.[9] In this election both Sherrill and Ciattarelli obtained the most votes cast in any New Jersey gubernatorial election, and this election had the highest turnout since 1997.[10]

Sherrill is scheduled to be sworn in as the 57th governor of New Jersey on January 20, 2026. She is set to become the second female governor in New Jersey history,[11] the first Democratic female governor in New Jersey history, and the first female military veteran to serve as governor of a U.S. state.[12] This election was the first New Jersey gubernatorial election since 1961 in which either party won the governorship for three consecutive terms.[13] Ciattarelli also lost his bid for governor a third time.[14]

Background

New Jersey has long been considered a blue state, consistently voting Democratic at the federal level since 1992 and generally voting Democratic at the state level as well. Republicans have not won a statewide election in New Jersey since the 2013 gubernatorial election, but recent statewide, especially gubernatorial, elections have been notably competitive.[15]

In 2021, Governor Murphy was re-elected by a 3.2% margin,[16] considerably down from his 14.1% margin of victory in 2017.[17] A similar rightward shift was seen at the presidential level in 2024, when Democrat Kamala Harris won New Jersey by 5.9%,[18] considerably down from 2020, when Joe Biden won New Jersey by 15.9%. Harris had the worst performance in New Jersey of any Democratic nominee since 1992, with Donald Trump becoming the first Republican nominee to lose New Jersey by just single digits since 2004.[19]

Most polls, analysts and ratings showed Sherrill to be the favorite, although the polls narrowed beginning in mid-September.[6]

This election was considered to be an indicator of the popularity of Donald Trump's second presidency in the state. Until 2021, New Jersey had elected a governor of the opposite party of the sitting president of the United States in every election since 1989.[20] Until this election, New Jersey had not elected the same party to the governor's office for more than two consecutive terms since 1961.[21]

In October 2025, the Trump administration announced that the Department of Justice would deploy election monitors to polling sites in California and New Jersey ahead of the November 4 elections. The administration cited concerns raised by Republican officials about alleged voting irregularities. Democratic leaders in both states criticized the move as politically-motivated voter intimidation, while the department said the monitors would ensure transparency and compliance with federal law.[22]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Ras Baraka
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
County officials
Local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Steven Fulop
State legislators
County officials
Local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Josh Gottheimer
U.S. representatives
State legislators
County officials
Local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Political parties
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Mikie Sherrill
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
County officials
Local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Political parties
Labor unions
Organizations
Sean Spiller
State legislators
Mayors
Labor unions
Stephen Sweeney
U.S. representatives
State legislators
County officials
Local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Political parties
Labor unions
Declined to endorse
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Political parties
Labor unions

County conventions

County convention results
Hunterdon County Democratic convention[112]
Candidate Round 1 Round 2
Votes % Votes %
Mikie Sherrill 81 45.76% 89 56.69%
Ras Baraka 65 36.73% 68 43.31%
Josh Gottheimer 13 7.35% Eliminated
Sean Spiller 11 6.21% Eliminated
Stephen Sweeney 7 3.95% Eliminated
Total ballots 177 ballots 157 ballots
Mercer County Democratic convention[113]
Candidate Round 1
Votes %
Mikie Sherrill 224 55.45%
Ras Baraka 133 32.92%
Sean Spiller 47 11.63%
Total ballots 404 ballots
Monmouth County Democratic convention[115]
Candidate Round 1
Votes %
Mikie Sherrill 338 72.84%
Ras Baraka 96 20.69%
Sean Spiller 30 6.47%
Josh Gottheimer[f] 0[g] 0.00%
Total ballots 464 ballots
Sussex County Democratic convention[118]
Candidate Round 1
Votes %
Mikie Sherrill 113 88.28%
Ras Baraka 9 7.03%
Stephen Sweeney 6 4.69%
Sean Spiller 0 0.00%
Total ballots 128 ballots[h]
Burlington County Democratic convention[143]
Candidate Round 1
Votes %
Stephen Sweeney 119 44.57%
Ras Baraka 69 25.84%
Mikie Sherrill 52 19.48%
Sean Spiller 27 10.11%
Total ballots 267 ballots
Atlantic County Democratic convention[142]
Candidate Round 1 Round 2
Votes % Votes %
Stephen Sweeney 81 47.36% 90 52.02%
Ras Baraka 38 22.22% 46 26.59%
Sean Spiller 29 16.96% 37 21.39%
Mikie Sherrill 23 13.45% Eliminated
Total ballots 171 ballots 173 ballots
Ocean County Democratic convention[167][i]
Candidate Round 1
Votes %
Mikie Sherrill 63 38.41%
Stephen Sweeney 31 18.90%
Ras Baraka 26 15.85%
Steven Fulop[j] 23 14.02%
Sean Spiller 21 12.80%
Total ballots 164 ballots
Bergen County Democratic convention[86]
Candidate Round 1
Votes %
Josh Gottheimer 616 66.02%
Mikie Sherrill 148 15.86%
Ras Baraka 95 10.18%
Sean Spiller 45 4.82%
Steve Sweeney 29 3.11%
Total ballots[k] 933 ballots
Morris County Democratic convention[116]
Candidate Round 1
Votes %
Mikie Sherrill 385 76.85%
Ras Baraka 88 17.56%
Sean Spiller 20 3.99%
Steve Sweeney 8 1.6%
Total ballots[l] 524 ballots
Turnout 83.71%[169]
Salem County Democratic convention[147]
Candidate Round 1
Votes %
Steve Sweeney 24 82.76%
Ras Baraka 3 10.34%
Mikie Sherrill 2 6.90%
Total ballots 29 ballots
Warren County Democratic convention[87]
Candidate Round 1
Votes %
Josh Gottheimer 19 57.58%
Ras Baraka 7 21.21%
Mikie Sherrill 5 15.15%
Steve Sweeney 2 6.06%
Total ballots 33 ballots
Essex County Democratic convention[110]
Candidate Round 1
Votes %
Mikie Sherrill 438 62.13%
Ras Baraka 236 33.48%
Sean Spiller 24 3.40%
Steve Sweeney 7 0.99%
Total ballots 705 ballots

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[m] 		Margin
of error 		Ras Baraka Steven Fulop Josh Gottheimer Mikie Sherrill Sean Spiller Stephen Sweeney Undecided
Emerson College[170] May 11–13, 2025 386 (LV) ± 4.9% 11% 11% 11% 28% 10% 5% 24%
MDW Communications (D)[171][A] May 11–13, 2025 1,100 (LV) ± 3.5% 17% 13% 7% 21% 7% 5% 30%
Global Strategy Group (D)[172][B] May 10–13, 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 15% 16% 11% 33% 6% 7% 12%
StimSight Research[173] May 7–10, 2025 409 (LV) ± 4.9% 21% 19% 10% 31% 9% 9% 1%
MDW Communications (D)[174][A] April 2025 1,200 (LV) ± 3.5% 14% 14% 9% 18% 11% 8% 26%
Rutgers-Eagleton[175] April 1–10, 2025 556 (RV) – 9% 12% 9% 17% 10% 7% 32%
Global Strategy Group (D)[176][B] April 6–8, 2025 600 (LV) – 13% 13% 15% 25% 12% 6% 16%
Hart Research Associates (D)[168][C] March – April 2025 – – 12% 14% 11% 20% 9% 9% 26%
Global Strategy Group (D)[177][D] April 1–3, 2025 900 (LV) ± 3.0% 11% 13% 14% 19% 11% 5% 27%
MDW Communications (D)[178][A] March 19–20, 2025 935 (LV) ± 3.0% 12% 9% 5% 14% 8% 5% 47%
GBAO (D)[179][E] February 27 – March 3, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 14% 10% 9% 20% 15% 8% 24%
Hart Research Associates (D)[168][C] February 2025 – – 12% 12% 9% 25% 11% 5% 26%
MDW Communications (D)[180][A] February 10, 2025 789 (LV) ± 3.0% 10% 5% 5% 16% 10% 3% 52%
Public Policy Polling (D)[181][F] January 22–23, 2025 615 (LV) ± 4.0% 9% 9% 5% 16% 11% 9% 43%
Emerson College[182] January 18–21, 2025 437 (LV) ± 4.6% 8% 4% 7% 10% 8% 7% 56%
Hart Research Associates (D)[168][C] November 2024 – – 12% 7% 6% 17% 10% 9% 39%
Upswing Research (D)[183][G] November 23–27, 2024 803 (LV) ± 3.5% 13% 8% 10% 25% 7% 8% 30%
Global Strategy Group (D)[184][B] November 20–24, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 9% 4% 9% 24% 5% 11% 38%
Renaissance Campaign Strategies (D)[185][H] July 13–14, 2024 802 (LV) ± 3.5% 12% 7% 8% 18% 2% 8% 45%
GQR Research (D)[186][I] March 7–12, 2024 603 (LV) ± 4.0% 20% 9% 5% 23% – 12% 29%

Fundraising

Primary campaign finance activity through June 27, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ras Baraka $7,325,248 $7,219,890 $105,358
Steven Fulop $9,142,423 $9,009,629 $132,794
Josh Gottheimer $9,217,621 $8,742,829 $474,792
Mikie Sherrill $9,549,353 $9,283,760 $265,594
Sean Spiller $454,309 $415,580 $38,729
Steve Sweeney $9,047,708 $8,633,427 $414,281
Source: New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission[188]

Debates

2025 New Jersey gubernatorial Democratic primary debates and forums
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee
 W  Withdrawn
Baraka Fulop Gottheimer Sherrill Spiller Sweeney
1[189] November 21, 2024 NJ PBS David Cruz YouTube P P A A P P
2[190] February 2, 2025 New Jersey Globe
On New Jersey
Rider University 		Laura Jones YouTube P P P P P P
3[191][192] May 12, 2025 NJ PBS
WNYC 		Briana Vannozzi
Michael Hill 		YouTube P P P P N P
4[191][192] May 18, 2025 New Jersey Globe
On New Jersey
Rider University 		Laura Jones YouTube P P P P N P

Results

Democratic primary results[193]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mikie Sherrill 286,244 34.02%
Democratic Ras Baraka 173,951 20.67%
Democratic Steven Fulop 134,573 15.99%
Democratic Josh Gottheimer 97,384 11.57%
Democratic Sean Spiller 89,472 10.63%
Democratic Stephen Sweeney 59,811 7.11%
Total votes 841,435 100.0%

Lieutenant gubernatorial nomination

Nominee

Considered but not selected

Declined to be considered

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified

  • Monica Brinson, former political strategist (continued running as a write-in candidate in general election)[201][202]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Jon Bramnick
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State assemblymembers
County officials
Local officials
Party officials
Party chapters
Political parties
Newspapers
Jack Ciattarelli (R)
U.S. executive branch officials
State senators
State assemblymembers
County officials
Party chapters
Political parties
Mario Kranjac
U.S. representatives
Bill Spadea
U.S. representatives
State legislators
County officials
Local officials
Party officials
Individuals
Party chapters
  • 10 municipal Republican committees[250]
Political parties
Organizations
Declined to endorse
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials

County conventions

County convention results
Cape May County Republican convention, February 5, 2025[233]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votes N/A[o] 100.00%
Monmouth County Republican convention, February 20, 2025[239]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votes N/A[o] 100.00%
Atlantic County Republican convention, February 22, 2025[230]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votes N/A[o] 100.00%
Passaic County Republican convention, February 25, 2025[240]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votes N/A[o] 100.00%
Ocean County Republican convention, February 25, 2025[253]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Spadea 129 60.85%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli 83 39.15%
Total votes 212 100.00%
Cumberland County Republican convention, March 1, 2025[234]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votes N/A[o] 100.00%
Salem County Republican convention, March 1, 2025[241]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votes N/A[o] 100.00%
Warren County Republican convention, March 2, 2025[244]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votes N/A[o] 100.00%
Mercer County Republican convention, March 3, 2025[214]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Spadea 69 42.86%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli 59 36.65%
Republican Jon Bramnick 33 20.50%
Total votes 161 100.00%
Somerset County Republican convention, March 4, 2025[242]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votes N/A[o] 100.00%
Hunterdon County Republican convention, March 5, 2025[237]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votes N/A[o] 100.00%
Union County Republican convention, March 6, 2025[243]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jack Ciattarelli 258 100.00%
Total votes 258[p] 100.00%
Burlington County Republican convention, March 8, 2025[232]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votes N/A[o] 100.00%
Middlesex County Republican convention, March 8, 2025[238]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votes N/A[o] 100.00%
Camden County Republican convention, March 10, 2025[252]
Candidate Round 1 Round 2
Votes % Votes %
Bill Spadea 36 47.37% 51 68.00%
Jack Ciattarelli 23 30.26% 24 32.00%
Edward Durr 29 16.96% 17 22.37%
Total ballots 76 75
Bergen County Republican convention, March 11, 2025[231]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jack Ciattarelli 492 86.31%
Republican Mario Kranjac 66 11.58%
Republican Monica Brinson 12 2.11%
Total votes 570 100.00%
Essex County Republican convention, March 18, 2025[235]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jack Ciattarelli 15 88.24%
Republican Jon Bramnick 2 11.76%
Total votes 17 100.00%
Gloucester County Republican convention, March 18, 2025[236]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jack Ciattarelli Unopposed
Total votes N/A[o] 100.00%

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[m] 		Margin
of error 		Jon
Bramnick 		Jack
Ciattarelli 		Edward
Durr 		Mario
Kranjac 		Bill
Spadea 		Other Undecided
Emerson College[170] May 11–13, 2025 330 (LV) ± 5.4% 8% 44% – 2% 18% 4%[q] 23%
National Research Inc. (R)[258][J] May 6–8, 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 10% 54% – 2% 23% – 11%
National Research Inc. (R)[259][J] April 8–10, 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 9% 50% – 3% 22% – 14%
Rutgers-Eagleton[175] April 1–10, 2025 258 (RV) – 4% 42% – 0% 12% 7%[r] 34%
March 24, 2025 Durr withdraws from the race
KAConsulting (R)[260][K] February 5–7, 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 4% 42% 2% 2% 13% – 35%
Emerson College[182] January 18–21, 2025 334 (LV) ± 5.3% 4% 26% 2% – 13% 10%[s] 47%
KAConsulting (R)[262][K] June 12–14, 2024 606 (LV) ± 4.0% 3% 44% 2% – 11% – 38%
Regional polling
Monmouth County
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[m] 		Margin
of error 		Jon
Bramnick 		Jack
Ciattarelli 		Edward
Durr 		Bill
Spadea 		Undecided
Stepien Strategic Partners (R)[263][L] December 7–10, 2024 920 (LV) ±3.2% 1% 37% 3% 38% 22%
Morris County
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[m] 		Margin
of error 		Jon
Bramnick 		Jack
Ciattarelli 		Edward
Durr 		Bill
Spadea 		Undecided
Stepien Strategic Partners (R)[263][L] December 7–10, 2024 920 (LV) ±3.2% 5% 39% 2% 22% 32%
Ocean County
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[m] 		Margin
of error 		Jon
Bramnick 		Jack
Ciattarelli 		Edward
Durr 		Bill
Spadea 		Undecided
Stepien Strategic Partners (R)[263][L] December 7–10, 2024 920 (LV) ±3.2% 3% 28% 4% 38% 27%

Fundraising

Primary campaign finance activity through June 27, 2025
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Justin Barbera <$6,900 <$6,900 <$6,900
Jon Bramnick $5,160,140 $5,015,536 $144,604
Jack Ciattarelli $9,474,904 $9,204,860 $270,044
Edward Durr $11,775 $4,591 $7,184
Mario Kranjac $191,289 $198,829 -$7,540
Bill Spadea $4,787,792 $4,572,045 $215,747
Source: New Jersey Election Law Enforcement Commission[188]

Debates

2025 New Jersey gubernatorial Republican primary debates and forums
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee
 W  Withdrawn
Barbera Bramnick Ciattarelli Durr Kranjac Spadea
1 November 21, 2024 NJ PBS David Cruz YouTube N P A P N A
2[190] February 4, 2025 New Jersey Globe
On New Jersey
Rider University
Save Jersey 		Laura Jones YouTube N P P P N P
3[191][192] May 7, 2025 NJ PBS
WNYC 		David Cruz
Michael Hill 		YouTube N P P W N P
4[191][192] May 20, 2025 New Jersey Globe
On New Jersey
Rider University
Save Jersey 		Laura Jones YouTube N P P W N P

Results

Republican primary results[193]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jack Ciattarelli 316,283 67.82%
Republican Bill Spadea 101,408 21.75%
Republican Jon Bramnick 29,130 6.25%
Republican Mario Kranjac 12,782 2.74%
Republican Justin Barbera 6,743 1.45%
Total votes 466,346 100.0%

Lieutenant gubernatorial nomination

Nominee

Considered but not selected

Declined to be considered

Third-party candidates

Candidates

Declared

Write-in

Withdrawn

General election

The in-person early voting period ran from October 25 to November 2, 2025.[270]

Candidates

Write-in

Debates

Gubernatorial

2025 New Jersey gubernatorial debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Sherrill Ciattarelli
1[272] September 21, 2025 New Jersey Globe
On New Jersey
Rider University 		Laura Jones YouTube P P
2[272] October 8, 2025 Various[u] Tamala Edwards
Bill Ritter 		YouTube P P

Lieutenant gubernatorial

2025 New Jersey lieutenant gubernatorial debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Caldwell Gannon
1[272] September 30, 2025 Various[v] Dan Mannarino
Henry Rosoff 		YouTube P P

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[273] Lean D November 4, 2025
Inside Elections[274] Lean D November 4, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[275] Lean D November 4, 2025
Race to the WH[276] Likely D November 4, 2025
State Navigate[277] Likely D November 4, 2025
New Jersey Globe[278] Lean D November 4, 2025

Post-primary endorsements

Mikie Sherrill (D)
2025 gubernatorial candidates
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Jack Ciattarelli (R)
2025 gubernatorial candidates
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State senators
State assemblymembers
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers and other media
Declined to endorse
2025 gubernatorial candidates
Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Mikie
Sherrill (D) 		Jack
Ciattarelli (R) 		Other/Undecided[w] Margin
Decision Desk HQ[371] through November 3, 2025 November 3, 2025 50.6% 45.7% 3.7% Sherrill +4.9%
FiftyPlusOne[372] through November 3, 2025 November 3, 2025 50.4% 44.7% 4.9% Sherrill +5.7%
Race to the WH[373] through November 3, 2025 November 4, 2025 49.7% 45.1% 5.2% Sherrill +4.6%
RealClearPolitics[374] October 14–30, 2025 November 1, 2025 48.9% 45.6% 5.5% Sherrill +3.3%
VoteHub[375] through November 3, 2025 November 3, 2025 49.8% 44.5% 5.7% Sherrill +5.3%
Average 49.9% 45.1% 5.0% Sherrill +4.8%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[m] 		Margin
of error 		Mikie
Sherrill (D) 		Jack
Ciattarelli (R) 		Other Undecided
Research Co.[376] November 2–3, 2025 429 (LV) ± 4.6% 51% 48% 1%[x] –
450 (LV) 48% 46% 1%[x] 5%
John Zogby Strategies (D)[377] October 31 – November 3, 2025 1,205 (LV) ± 2.9% 55% 43% 2%[y] –
AtlasIntel[378] October 25–30, 2025 1,639 (LV) ± 2.0% 50% 49% – 1%
SoCal Strategies (R)[379][M] October 28–29, 2025 800 (LV) – 52% 45% – 3%
Suffolk University[380] October 26–29, 2025 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 42% 2%[z] 7%
Emerson College[381][N] October 25–28, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50%[aa] 48% 1%[ab] 1%
49% 48% 1%[ab] 2%
Beacon Research (D)/
Shaw & Company Research (R)[382][O] 		October 24–28, 2025 956 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 45% – 3%
1,107 (RV) 52% 43% – 5%
Quinnipiac University[383] October 23–28, 2025 1,166 (LV) ± 3.8% 51% 43% 2%[z] 4%
51%[ac] 44% – 4%
YouGov[384] October 17–28, 2025 1,153 (LV) ± 4.0% 54% 44% 2%[ad] –
51% 42% 1%[ad] 6%
Quantus Insights (R)[385] October 26–27, 2025 1,380 (LV) ± 2.6% 49% 46% – 5%
co/efficient (R)[386] October 23–27, 2025 995 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 47% 1%[x] 5%
A2 Insights[387] October 24–26, 2025 812 (LV) – 51% 47% – 2%
GQR (D)[388][B] October 15–20, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 40% – 8%
Concord Public Opinion Partners (D)[389][P] October 16–18, 2025 605 (LV) ± 3.9% 49% 40% – 11%
Rutgers-Eagleton[390] October 3–17, 2025 795 (LV) ± 4.7% 50% 45% – 5%
KAConsulting (R)[391][Q] October 15–16, 2025 601 (RV/LV) ± 4.0% 47% 44% – 9%
InsiderAdvantage (R)/Trafalgar Group (R)[392] October 14–15, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 44% 4% 7%
Fairleigh Dickinson University[393] October 9–15, 2025 814 (RV) ± 3.4% 52% 45% – 3%
Beacon Research (D)/
Shaw & Company Research (R)[394][O] 		October 10–14, 2025 869 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 45% – 5%
1,002 (RV) 48% 44% – 8%
Quinnipiac University[395] October 9–13, 2025 1,327 (LV) ± 3.6% 50% 44% 2%[z] 4%
51%[ac] 44% – 4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[396] October 8–9, 2025 955 (LV) ± 3.0% 46% 40% 4%[ae] 9%
Neighborhood Research (R)[397] October 6–9, 2025 311 (LV) ± 5.6% 44% 44% – 12%
Public Policy Polling (D)[398][R] October 2–3, 2025 703 (RV) ± 3.7% 49% 43% – 8%
John Zogby Strategies (D)[399] September 30 – October 2, 2025 912 (LV) ± 3.3% 50% 42% – 8%
Quantus Insights (R)[400] September 29–30, 2025 900 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 46% – 6%
Beacon Research (D)/
Shaw & Company Research (R)[401][O] 		September 25–28, 2025 822 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 42% – 8%
1,002 (RV) 48% 41% – 11%
Global Strategy Group (D)[402][B] September 22–25, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 43% – 7%
Valcour/Save Jersey (R)[403] September 23–24, 2025 1,274 (LV) ± 2.8% 47% 45% – 7%
Emerson College[404] September 22–23, 2025 935 (LV) ± 3.1% 43% 43% 3% 11%
yes. every kid.[405] September 20–22, 2025 704 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 41% – 10%
National Research Inc. (R)[406][J] September 16–18, 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 46% – 9%
Quinnipiac University[407] September 11–15, 2025 1,238 (LV) ± 3.9% 49% 41% 2%[z] 6%
51%[af] 42% – 7%
National Research Inc. (R)[408][J] September 8–10, 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 45% – 8%
Quantus Insights (R)[409] September 2–4, 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.3% 47% 37% – 16%
49%[aa] 39% – 12%
TIPP Insights (R)[410][S] August 25–28, 2025 1,524 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 36% – 27%
1,349 (LV) 46% 39% 2%[ag] 12%
1,073 (RV)[ah] 47% 43% 2%[ag] 8%
Rutgers-Eagleton[411] July 31 – August 11, 2025 1,650 (LV) ± 3.7% 44% 35% 3% 17%
47%[aa] 37% 3% 12%
A2 Insights[412] July 29 – August 2, 2025 629 (LV) – 51% 45% – 4%
StimSight Research[413] July 18–24, 2025 1,108 (LV) ± 3.3% 48% 42% 1% 9%
Fairleigh Dickinson University[414] July 17–23, 2025 806 (LV) ± 3.4% 45% 37% 3% 15%
National Research Inc. (R)[408][J] July 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 43% – 11%
KAConsulting (R)[415][Q] June 24–27, 2025 800 (RV/LV) ± 3.5% 47% 42% – 11%
Cygnal (R)[416][T] June 19–20, 2025 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 43% – 7%
Rutgers-Eagleton[417] June 13–16, 2025 621 (LV) ± 5.4% 51% 31% – 18%
56%[aa] 35% – 9%
National Research Inc. (R)[418][J] June 11–12, 2025 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 42% – 12%
SurveyUSA (D)[419][P] May 28–30, 2025 576 (LV) ± 6.1% 51% 38% – 12%

Results

2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election[420]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Mikie Sherrill
Dale Caldwell 		1,896,610 56.88% +5.66%
Republican Jack Ciattarelli
Jim Gannon 		1,417,705 42.52% –5.48%
Libertarian Vic Kaplan
Bruno Pereira 		11,880 0.36% +0.06%
Socialist Workers Joanne Kuniansky
Craig Honts 		8,164 0.24% +0.09%
Total votes 3,334,359 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

By county

County[420] Mikie Sherrill
Democratic 		Jack Ciattarelli
Republican 		Various candidates
Other parties 		Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Atlantic 51,201 51.48% 47,603 47.86% 652 0.66% 3,598 3.62% 99,456
Bergen 190,461 55.26% 152,682 44.30% 1,518 0.44% 37,779 10.96% 344,661
Burlington 116,774 60.47% 75,342 39.02% 986 0.51% 41,432 21.46% 193,102
Camden 130,752 68.08% 60,129 31.31% 1,179 0.61% 70,623 36.77% 192,060
Cape May 18,270 41.45% 25,588 58.06% 214 0.49% -7,318 -16.60% 44,072
Cumberland 21,348 52.18% 19,272 47.11% 290 0.71% 2,076 5.07% 40,910
Essex 188,681 76.92% 55,503 22.63% 1,118 0.46% 133,178 54.29% 245,302
Gloucester 67,066 51.88% 61,265 47.39% 935 0.72% 5,801 4.49% 129,266
Hudson 127,181 74.67% 41,021 24.08% 2,122 1.25% 86,160 50.59% 170,324
Hunterdon 31,663 47.44% 34,683 51.96% 401 0.60% -3,020 -4.52% 66,747
Mercer 91,713 71.31% 36,156 28.11% 741 0.58% 55,557 43.20% 128,610
Middlesex 174,038 62.64% 101,830 36.65% 1,992 0.72% 72,208 25.99% 277,860
Monmouth 131,484 45.79% 154,166 53.69% 1,503 0.52% -22,682 -7.90% 287,153
Morris 116,488 50.89% 111,422 48.67% 1,006 0.44% 5,066 2.21% 228,916
Ocean 90,323 32.56% 185,957 67.03% 1,160 0.42% -95,634 -34.47% 277,440
Passaic 86,053 57.71% 61,966 41.56% 1,081 0.73% 24,087 16.15% 149,100
Salem 9,782 42.06% 13,281 57.11% 192 0.83% -3,499 -15.05% 23,255
Somerset 83,355 59.33% 56,095 39.93% 1,037 0.74% 27,260 19.40% 140,487
Sussex 26,308 40.56% 38,118 58.77% 429 0.66% -11,810 -18.21% 64,855
Union 124,470 67.18% 59,646 32.19% 1,162 0.63% 64,824 34.99% 185,278
Warren 19,199 42.19% 25,980 57.09% 326 0.72% -6,781 -14.90% 45,505
Totals 1,896,610 56.88% 1,417,705 42.52% 20,044 0.60% 478,905 14.36% 3,334,359

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic:

By congressional district

Sherrill won ten of 12 congressional districts, including one held by a Republican.[421]

District Sherrill Ciattarelli Representative
1st 63.2% 36.1% Donald Norcross
2nd 46.0% 53.4% Jeff Van Drew
3rd 57.0% 42.5% Herb Conaway
4th 35.4% 64.2% Chris Smith
5th 53.0% 46.6% Josh Gottheimer
6th 60.6% 38.7% Frank Pallone
7th 50.7% 48.7% Thomas Kean Jr.
8th 74.8% 24.1% Rob Menendez
9th 59.4% 39.9% Nellie Pou
10th 80.7% 18.5% LaMonica McIver
11th 57.4% 42.1% Mikie Sherrill
12th 66.9% 32.4% Bonnie Watson Coleman

By state legislative district

Sherrill won 28 of 40 state legislative districts, including four with Republican state senators. Ciattarelli won 12 districts, including one held by a Democrat.

District Sherrill Ciattarelli State Senator
1st 46.8% 52.6% Mike Testa
2nd 54.0% 45.3% Vincent J. Polistina
3rd 49.1% 50.1% John Burzichelli
4th 54.2% 45.1% Paul D. Moriarty
5th 70.2% 29.0% Nilsa Cruz-Perez
6th 67.4% 32.0% James Beach
7th 66.8% 32.7% Troy Singleton
8th 52.5% 47.0% Latham Tiver
9th 37.0% 62.5% Carmen Amato
10th 37.7% 61.9% James W. Holzapfel
11th 54.1% 45.3% Vin Gopal
12th 39.9% 59.6% Owen Henry
13th 43.7% 55.8% Declan O'Scanlon
14th 60.5% 39.0% Linda R. Greenstein
15th 74.1% 25.3% Shirley Turner
16th 59.2% 40.2% Andrew Zwicker
17th 75.0% 24.1% Bob Smith
18th 63.2% 36.2% Patrick J. Diegnan
19th 62.2% 37.1% Joe F. Vitale
20th 73.8% 25.3% Joseph Cryan
21st 55.4% 44.1% Jon Bramnick
22nd 67.6% 31.7% Nicholas Scutari
23rd 47.4% 51.9% Doug Steinhardt
24th 42.8% 56.6% Parker Space
25th 52.3% 47.2% Anthony M. Bucco
26th 49.0% 50.6% Joseph Pennacchio
27th 70.6% 28.8% John F. McKeon
28th 92.1% 7.4% Renee Burgess
29th 84.0% 15.2% Teresa Ruiz
30th 25.0% 74.6% Robert W. Singer
31st 72.7% 25.8% Angela V. McKnight
32nd 77.0% 21.6% Raj Mukherji
33rd 74.2% 25.0% Brian P. Stack
34th 76.3% 23.2% Britnee Timberlake
35th 72.0% 27.1% Benjie Wimberly
36th 56.9% 42.5% Paul Sarlo
37th 66.2% 33.3% Gordon M. Johnson
38th 55.0% 44.6% Joseph Lagana
39th 49.4% 50.3% Holly Schepisi
40th 48.5% 51.0% Kristin Corrado

Exit poll

Sherrill was able to win New Jersey by over 14%, nearly matching Joe Biden's 16% victory in 2020, and winning the same counties as Biden. According to a CNN exit poll, Sherrill won 94% of Black voters, 68% of Hispanic voters, and 82% of Asian voters. Sherrill also won 54% of White women.[422]

2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election voter demographics (CNN)[422]
Demographic subgroup Sherrill Ciattarelli % of
total vote
Ideology
Liberals 94 6 34
Moderates 62 37 33
Conservatives 11 88 33
Party
Democrats 97 2 38
Republicans 7 92 31
Independents 56 43 31
Donald Trump job approval
Approve 8 92 42
Disapprove 93 6 56
Most important issue facing New Jersey
Economy 66 33 32
Taxes 37 62 34
Healthcare 92 7 16
Immigration 28 71 7
2024 presidential vote
Kamala Harris 97 3 50
Donald Trump 7 93 42
Another candidate 63 30 2
Did not vote 65 31 3
Gender
Men 49 50 47
Women 62 37 53
Income
$200,000 or more 57 43 19
$100,000-$199,999 53 47 33
$50,000-$99,999 51 49 26
Less than $50,000 71 28 23
Race/ethnicity
White 47 52 70
Asian 82 17 5
Latino 68 31 10
Black 94 5 10
Race/ethnicity by gender
White men 41 59 34
White women 54 46 36
Black men 92 7 4
Black women 95 4 6
Latino men 61 38 5
Latina women 73 26 6
All other voters 69 29 10
Age
18–29 years old 69 31 11
30–44 years old 67 32 19
45-64 years old 51 48 34
65 and older 51 48 35
Area type
Urban 84 15 7
Suburban 54 45 93
Education
College graduate 62 38 55
No college degree 50 49 45
Education by race
White college graduates 55 45 40
Non-white college graduates 79 21 15
Whites without college 37 63 31
Non-whites without college 75 23 15
Education by gender and race
White women with college degrees 62 38 20
White women without college degrees 43 57 16
White men with college degrees 48 52 18
White men without college degrees 31 69 15
Voters of color 77 22 30
Educational attainment
Advanced degree 68 32 23
Bachelor's degree 64 36 31
Associate's degree 55 45 10
Some college 53 46 15
Never attended college 45 54 21

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Vainieri's endorsement was voided by the election of Craig Guy as Hudson County Democratic chair.[57]
  2. ^ International and New Jersey State Council
  3. ^ National Union of Hospital and Health Care Employees District 1199J
  4. ^ Brotherhood of Maintenance of Way Employes and Locals 641, 2906, and 3082
  5. ^ Locals 30, 94, 351, 400, and 456
  6. ^ Withdrew from participation in this convention but remained on ballot.
  7. ^ Gottheimer received votes, but they were not announced due to his withdrawal at the convention.
  8. ^ Six ballots were abstentions or voided.
  9. ^ No candidate endorsed, as none received a majority of ballots in the only round of voting
  10. ^ These votes were write-ins, as Fulop was not on the ballot.
  11. ^ 41 additional delegates abstained or cast invalid ballots.
  12. ^ 23 delegates abstained
  13. ^ a b c d e f Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  14. ^ National and New Jersey chapter
  15. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Ciattarelli was the only candidate on the ballot.
  16. ^ 22 votes were not counted, as they were undervotes.
  17. ^ Justin Barbera with 2%; "Someone else" with 2%
  18. ^ Justin Barbera with 3%; "None of them" 4%; "Someone else" with <1%
  19. ^ Bacon and Herberg with 3%; Canfield and Fazzone with 2%
  20. ^ Zielinski submitted enough signatures in June for ballot access but withdrew from the race in early August after missing the statutory deadline to select a lieutenant governor candidate, citing "health and personal reasons". Zielinski was replaced on the ballot by Lily Benavides, who was subsequently removed from the ballot after a petition challenge by the Morris County Democratic Committee.
  21. ^ WABC-TV, WPVI-TV, WXTV Univision 41, Edward J. Bloustein School of Planning and Public Policy, Rutgers University
  22. ^ WPIX, WPHL-TV, Kean University, New Jersey 101.5
  23. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  24. ^ a b c Vic Kaplan (LP) with 1%
  25. ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
  26. ^ a b c d Vic Kaplan (LP) and Joanne Kuniansky (SWP) with 1%
  27. ^ a b c d With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  28. ^ a b "Someone else" with 1%
  29. ^ a b H2H between Sherill and Ciattarelli
  30. ^ a b Vic Kaplan (LP) and Joanne Kuniansky (SWP) with 0%
  31. ^ "Third-party candidate" with 4%
  32. ^ H2H between Sherill and Ciattarelli
  33. ^ a b Joanne Zielinski [sic] and David Kaplan [sic] with 1%. Note the poll incorrectly named Joanne Kuniansky as "Joanne Zielinski" and Vic Kaplan as "David Kaplan"
  34. ^ Among "regular voters"

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Baraka's campaign
  2. ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by Sherill's campaign
  3. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Fulop's campaign
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Gottheimer's campaign
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by Garden State Forward, a super PAC affiliated with the New Jersey Education Association, which supports Spiller
  6. ^ Poll sponsored by Working New Jersey PAC, which supports Spiller
  7. ^ Poll sponsored by Laborers' International Union of North America, which supports Sherrill
  8. ^ Poll sponsored by One New Jersey United, a pro-Baraka Super PAC
  9. ^ Poll sponsored by Principled Veterans Fund, which the New Jersey Globe says "has connections" to Sherrill[187]
  10. ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by Ciattarelli's campaign
  11. ^ a b Poll commissioned by Kitchen Table Conservatives, a pro-Ciattarelli, anti-Spadea super PAC[261]
  12. ^ a b c Poll conducted for Spadea's campaign
  13. ^ Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics, a conservative content creator who supports Ciattarelli.
  14. ^ Poll sponsored by PIX11 and The Hill
  15. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Fox News
  16. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Democrats for Education Reform, which supports Sherrill
  17. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Change NJ, a pro-Ciattarelli, anti-Sherrill super PAC
  18. ^ Poll commissioned by the Democratic Governors Association, which supports Sherrill
  19. ^ Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
  20. ^ Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project, a conservative group

References

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  3. ^ Simko, Tyler; Khanna, Kabir. "Sherrill wins New Jersey governor's race". CBS News. Retrieved November 5, 2025.
  4. ^ Sherman, Ted. "A broken crystal ball? Why the polls in the Sherrill landslide victory got it wrong again". NJ.com. Retrieved November 6, 2025.
  5. ^ "Live updates: New Jersey governor, Atlantic City mayor are key races in NJ primary". NBC10 Philadelphia. June 10, 2025. Retrieved November 5, 2025.
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  7. ^ Vakil, Caroline (October 30, 2025). "Sherrill, Ciattarelli in tight race for N.J. governor". The Hill. Retrieved November 5, 2025.
  8. ^ "Votes Cast for the Office of Governor of the State of New Jersey" (PDF). Secretary of State of New Jersey. 1973. Retrieved August 22, 2015.
  9. ^ "Votes Cast for the Office of Governor of the State of New Jersey" (PDF). Secretary of State of New Jersey. 1977. Retrieved August 21, 2015.
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  12. ^ "Covering Women in the 2025 Elections". cawp.rutgers.edu. October 28, 2025.
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  14. ^ "Sherrill wins New Jersey governor's race". The Hill. November 4, 2025. Retrieved November 10, 2025.
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