Opinion polling on the Lech Wałęsa presidency
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Lech Wałęsa was elected to the office of President of Poland in the first direct presidential election in Poland, the 1990 presidential election, serving until the inauguration of Aleksander Kwaśniewski, Wałęsa's runoff opponent in the 1995 presidential election.[1] Throughout Wałęsa's presidency, several polling agencies conducted opinion polls gauging his approval rating as President.
Wałęsa maintained an overwhelmingly negative approval rating throughout the second half of his term, with his approval becoming positive only during a period of increased polarization before the second turn of the 1995 presidential election.[2]
Approval polls
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Approve | Disapprove | Don't know/Neutral | Net approval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9–12 Nov 1995 | CBOS | 1,254 | 51 | 41 | 8 | 10 |
| 29 Sep–3 Oct 1995 | OBOP | 1,385 | 30 | 62 | 8 | –32 |
| 1–4 Sep 1995 | CBOS | 1,150 | 23 | 64 | 13 | –41 |
| 7–12 Jul 1995 | CBOS | 1,115 | 27 | 60 | 12 | –33 |
| Jun–Jul 1995 | OBOP | 26 | 66 | 8 | –39 | |
| 10–13 Jun 1995 | OBOP | 1,100 | 31 | 63 | 6 | –32 |
| 13–16 May 1995 | OBOP | 1,081 | 20 | 71 | 9 | –52 |
| 5–10 May 1995 | CBOS | 1,203 | 25 | 65 | 10 | –40 |
| 1–4 Apr 1995 | OBOP | 1,112 | 26 | 69 | 4 | –43 |
| 3–7 Mar 1995 | OBOP | 1,086 | 23 | 70 | 6 | –47 |
| 4–6 Mar 1995 | CBOS | 1,208 | 25 | 64 | 11 | –39 |
| 14 Feb 1995 | Demoskop | 971 | 23 | 67 | –44 | |
| 3–6 Feb 1995 | OBOP | 1,123 | 28 | 66 | 6 | –38 |
| 6–9 Jan 1995 | CBOS | 1,230 | 25 | 64 | 11 | –39 |
| 9–13 Dec 1994 | OBOP | 1,035 | 21 | 69 | 9 | –48 |
| 18–22 Nov 1994 | OBOP | 1,031 | 20 | 71 | 9 | –51 |
| 3–7 Nov 1994 | CBOS | 1,237 | 22 | 69 | 9 | –47 |
| 1–4 Oct 1994 | OBOP | 1,130 | 19 | 73 | 7 | –54 |
| 2–6 Sep 1994 | OBOP | 1,048 | 26 | 68 | 6 | –42 |
| 2–5 Sep 1994 | CBOS | 1,219 | 26 | 64 | 11 | –38 |
| 15–19 Jul 1994 | OBOP | 966 | 26 | 70 | 4 | –44 |
| 17–20 Jun 1994 | CBOS | 1,197 | 26 | 64 | 10 | –38 |
| 20–25 May 1994 | OBOP | 1,107 | 26 | 69 | 5 | –43 |
| 14–18 Apr 1994 | CBOS | 1,197 | 25 | 64 | 12 | –39 |
| 23–29 Mar 1994 | OBOP | 1,197 | 31 | 63 | 6 | –32 |
| 11–15 Feb 1994 | CBOS | 1,198 | 35 | 55 | –20 | |
| 9–14 Dec 1993 | CBOS | 1,239 | 30 | 57 | –27 | |
| 20–25 Oct 1993 | CBOS | 1,192 | 39 | 49 | 12 | –10 |
| 7–12 Jul 1993 | CBOS | 1,127 | 32 | 56 | 13 | –24 |
| 14–17 May 1993 | CBOS | 1,075 | 29 | 61 | 10 | –32 |
| Mar 1993 | CBOS | 41 | 48 | –7 | ||
| 15–17 Jan 1993 | CBOS | 1,208 | 37 | 48 | –11 | |
| 13–15 Nov 1992 | CBOS | 1,184 | 44 | 44 | 0 | |
| 2–7 Sep 1992 | CBOS | 1,153 | 41 | 49 | –8 | |
| 1–3 May 1992 | CBOS | 1,191 | 36 | 52 | 13 | –16 |
| 5–10 Mar 1992 | CBOS | 1,172 | 38 | 46 | 15 | –8 |
| 10–13 Oct 1991 | CBOS | 1,500 | 46 | 43 | 11 | 3 |
| 20–23 Sep 1991 | CBOS | 1,500 | 49 | 41 | 11 | 8 |
| 23–26 Aug 1991 | CBOS | 1,000 | 49 | 39 | 11 | 10 |
| 12–14 Jul 1991 | CBOS | 1,000 | 36 | 56 | 8 | –20 |
| 14–17 Jun 1991 | CBOS | 1,000 | 46.0 | 42.3 | 11.4 | 3.7 |
| 18–21 May 1991 | CBOS | 1,000 | 51 | 41 | 7 | 10 |
| 12–16 Apr 1991 | CBOS | 1,000 | 70 | 20 | 10 | 50 |
| Feb 1991 | CBOS | 53 | 25 | 28 | ||
| Jan 1991 | CBOS | 60 | 20 | 40 |
Support for a "presidential party"
Throughout Wałęsa's presidency, opinion polls were conducted whether voters would support a "presidential party" loyal to Wałęsa. In 1993, the Nonpartisan Bloc for Support of Reforms (Polish: Bezpartyjny Blok Wspierania Reform, BBWR) was established as a pro-Wałęsa nonpartisan political organization, and parliamentary election polling indicated the party hovered around the 5% threshold[3] in the 1993 parliamentary election, ultimately gaining 5.41% of the vote and 16 seats.
| Date(s) conducted |
Polling firm/Link | Sample size | Would vote |
|---|---|---|---|
| April 1993 | CBOS | 1,223 | 12 |
| July 1991 | PBS | 1,049 | 29 |
See also
References
- ^ Dudek, Antoni (2023). Historia polityczna Polski 1989–2023 [Polish political history 1989-2023] (in Polish). Warsaw: Wydawnictwo Naukowe Scholar. ISBN 978-83-67450-66-9.
- ^ Zaufanie do instytucji publicznych w czasie wyborów prezydenckich, CBOS, 27 November 1995, retrieved 2025-08-23
- ^ "Co mówiły sondaże". Gazeta Wyborcza. 20 September 1993. Retrieved 2025-08-25.
W okolicach 5-procentowego progu krążyły niepewne swego losu: BBWR, ,Ojczyzna' i ,Solidarność'.
[Around the 5-percent threshold hovered BBWR, "Ojczyzna" and "Solidarność".]