Next Bulgarian parliamentary election
2026 (expected)
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All 240 seats in the National Assembly 121 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria by early 2026 following the resignation of the Zhelyazkov government on 11 December 2025 caused by a series of protests.[1]
Background
The October 2024 elections produced a minority government headed by Prime Minister Rosen Zhelyazkov, comprising GERB–SDS, BSP–OL, and ITN, with APS supporting the government in confidence votes.[2] However, as a result of a ruling by the Bulgarian Supreme Court in March 2025, the Veliche party also gained seats, bringing down the coalition to exactly the minimum 121 seats compared to the 119 seats held by the opposition.[3]
Following DPS–NN leader Delyan Peevski's commitment to support the government in case the recalculation resulted in the loss of the government's majority, APS withdrew from the government in April 2025 because they refused to support a government with Peevski.[4][5] The government survived a no-confidence vote days later due to Peevski's support, effectively creating a de facto confidence and supply agreement.
In December 2025, the Zhelyazkov Government resigned after weeks of protests against the 2026 budget and corruption within the government.[6][7]
Opinion polls
The opinion poll results below were recalculated from the original data by excluding undecided and non-voters.
121 seats are needed for a parliamentary majority and all parties need to pass a 4% threshold (calculated excluding 'none of the above' votes) to win seats in the National Assembly.
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample | GERB–SDS | PP–DB | Vaz. | DPS–NN | BSP–OL | APS | ITN | MECh | Veli. | Others | NOTA | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alpha Research | 5 – 12 Dec 2025 | 1009 | 24.7 70 |
20.5 58 |
13.4 38 |
10.8 31 |
5.7 16 |
1.9 0 |
4.4 12 |
4.8 14 |
2.4 0 |
11.4 | –[a] | 3.2 |
| 11 Dec 2025 | The Zhelyazkov Government resigns | |||||||||||||
| MarketLinks | 3 – 7 Dec 2025 | 1009 | 24.1 68 |
20.9 59 |
13.2 37 |
12.9 36 |
6.7 19 |
1.7 0 |
3.1 0 |
7.5 21 |
3.7 0 |
6.2 | –[a] | 3.2 |
| Gallup | 29 Sep – 12 Oct 2025 | 904 | 28.3 70 |
14.4 35 |
13.8 34 |
18.1 44 |
7.9 19 |
1.2 0 |
6.0 14 |
5.9 14 |
4.4 10 |
3.2 | –[a] | 10.2 |
| Trend | 13–20 Sep 2025 | 1004 | 28.4 70 |
14.3 35 |
14.9 37 |
14.5 36 |
7.7 19 |
2.7 0 |
6.1 15 |
7.0 17 |
4.4 11 |
6.9 | –[a] | 13.5 |
| Myara | 04–12 Sep 2025 | 802 | 28.7 71 |
14.8 37 |
14.6 36 |
14.5 36 |
7.1 17 |
2.8 0 |
5.7 14 |
7.0 17 |
4.8 12 |
6.2 | –[a] | 13.9 |
| Gallup | 11–23 Jul 2025 | 800 | 27.5 68 |
13.5 33 |
14.1 34 |
18.6 46 |
8.4 20 |
1.5 0 |
5.6 13 |
6.5 16 |
4.4 10 |
6.1[b] | –[a] | 8.9 |
| Alpha Research | 07–14 Jul 2025 | 1,000 | 28.3 71 |
15.4 38 |
12.8 32 |
14.6 36 |
9.0 22 |
3.1 0 |
5.2 13 |
7.0 17 |
4.6 11 |
10.0[c] | –[a] | 12.9 |
| Sova Harris | 09–11 Jun 2025 | 1,000 | 25.0 67 |
13.9 37 |
14.4 39 |
8.7 23 |
7.0 18 |
5.9 15 |
4.5 12 |
5.7 15 |
5.2 14 |
9.7 | –[a] | 10.6 |
| Gallup | 28 May – 4 Jun 2025 | 1,204 | 25.1 69 |
14.5 40 |
13.7 38 |
16.1 44 |
7.2 20 |
4.0 0 |
5.2 14 |
5.6 15 |
3.8 0 |
4.8 | 2.3[a] | 9.0 |
| Trend | 12–18 May 2025 | 1,001 | 26.2 71 |
13.8 37 |
13.5 36 |
11.6 31 |
6.8 18 |
5.8 15 |
6 16 |
5.9 16 |
3.9 0 |
6.5[d] | –[a] | 12.4 |
| MarketLinks | 18–30 Apr 2025 | 1,010 | 25.4 64 |
17.2 44 |
13 33 |
12.9 33 |
6.8 17 |
6.2 15 |
4.3 10 |
5.2 13 |
4.6 11 |
4.5 | 2.9[a] | 7.0 |
| 17 Apr 2025 | The DPS–NN supports the government[8] | |||||||||||||
| 16 Apr 2025 | The APS withdraws its support from the government | |||||||||||||
| Myara | 3–13 Apr 2025 | 807 | 27.9 67 |
15.0 36 |
14.0 34 |
10.9 26 |
7.1 17 |
7.5 18 |
6.7 16 |
6.5 15 |
4.5 11 |
5.2 | –[a] | 12.9 |
| MarketLinks | 22–30 Mar 2025 | 1,004 | 26.3 65 |
16.9 42 |
12.5 31 |
12.8 32 |
6.8 16 |
7.4 18 |
5.1 12 |
5.0 12 |
5.0 12 |
2.1 | 2.5[a] | 9.4 |
| Gallup | 19–30 Mar 2025 | 846 | 25.8 68 |
15.4 41 |
12.3 32 |
16.0 42 |
6.6 17 |
5.3 14 |
5.1 13 |
4.8 13 |
3.9 0 |
5.1 | –[a] | 9.6 |
| Trend | 10–16 Mar 2025 | 1,020 | 26.7 73 |
13.6 37 |
12.5 34 |
10.9 29 |
6.9 18 |
6.7 18 |
5.9 16 |
5.7 15 |
3.9 0 |
7.2[e] | –[a] | 13.1 |
| 13 Mar 2025 | The Constitutional Court orders a seat re-calculation and Velichie re-enters the National Assembly[9][10] | |||||||||||||
| MarketLinks | 22 Feb–2 Mar 2025 | 1,025 | 25.7 68 |
16.0 42 |
13.0 34 |
13.4 35 |
6.8 18 |
7.5 19 |
4.3 11 |
4.9 13 |
– | 8.3 | 2.7[a] | 9.7 |
| Gallup | 13–20 Feb 2025 | 841 | 26.5 74 |
11.8 32 |
12.6 35 |
12.5 34 |
8.2 22 |
5.9 16 |
5.2 14 |
4.7 13 |
3.8 0 |
5.0 | –[a] | 13.9 |
| Myara | 6–16 Feb 2025 | 803 | 28.2 68 |
14.8 36 |
14.4 34 |
10.8 26 |
7.2 17 |
7.4 18 |
6.8 16 |
6.3 15 |
4.0 10 |
5.9 | –[a] | 13.4 |
| Market Links | 25 Jan–3 Feb 2025 | 1,008 | 27.5 73 |
15.5 41 |
13.1 35 |
11 29 |
6.6 17 |
8.4 22 |
4.9 13 |
4.1 10 |
– | 8.9 | 2.7[a] | 12.3 |
| Trend | 24–30 Jan 2025 | 1,003 | 26.6 73 |
13.2 36 |
13.0 35 |
10.3 28 |
6.9 18 |
7.1 19 |
5.9 16 |
5.6 15 |
3.8 0 |
7.6[f] | –[a] | 13.4 |
| Alpha Research | 15–20 Jan 2025 | 1,000 | 27.3 71 |
14.1 36 |
13.8 36 |
11.4 29 |
8.4 21 |
7.9 20 |
6.5 17 |
4.2 10 |
– | 4.9 | –[a] | 13.2 |
| 16 Jan 2025 | The Zhelyazkov Government is sworn in | |||||||||||||
| Gallup Archived 24 June 2025 at the Wayback Machine | 8–12 Jan 2025 | 800 | 26.6 69 |
13.6 35 |
14.2 36 |
14.1 36 |
8.4 22 |
6.8 17 |
5.3 13 |
4.9 12 |
3.6 0 |
2.5 | –[a] | 12.4 |
| Market Links | 12–20 Dec 2024 | 1,007 | 27.5 74 |
15.4 42 |
14.1 38 |
12.5 34 |
7.7 21 |
6.8 18 |
4.8 13 |
3.6 0 |
– | 7.6 | 2.4[a] | 12.1 |
| October 2024 election | 27 Oct 2024 | N/a | 26.4 69/66 |
14.2 37/36 |
13.4 35/33 |
11.5 30/29 |
7.6 20/19 |
7.5 19/19 |
6.8 18/17 |
4.6 12/11 |
4.0 0/10 |
4.1 | –[g] | 12.2 |
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w This poll reported the percentage respondents that do not support any party, or are undecided however the data was recalculated to exclude these percentages.
- ^ including 1.9% undecided
- ^ including 6.4% undecided
- ^ Blue Bulgaria included, receiving 1.1%.
- ^ Blue Bulgaria included, receiving 1.1%.
- ^ Including Blue Bulgaria with 1.2%.
- ^ The electoral commission excludes none of the above votes when calculating the percentages received by parties for the purpose of seat allocation.
References
- ^ https://dariknews.bg/novini/bylgariia/kabinetyt-zheliazkov-podade-ostavka-video-2439765
- ^ "Bulgaria's parliament approves new coalition government led by centre-right's Rosen Zhelyazkov". AP News. 16 January 2025. Retrieved 16 January 2025.
- ^ Kilova, Milena (19 March 2025). "Ще остане ли стабилно управлението след влизането на "Величие" в парламента?". БНТ Новини (in Bulgarian).
- ^ "ДПС-Доган реши: Напуска управляващото мнозинство". Mediapool.bg (in Bulgarian). 15 April 2025. Retrieved 16 April 2025.
- ^ "Това правителство ще оцелее, според лидера на "Величие" Ивелин Михайлов". www.bta.bg (in Bulgarian). Retrieved 16 April 2025.
- ^ "Bulgarian government collapses after weeks of mass protests". POLITICO. 11 December 2025. Retrieved 11 December 2025.
- ^ Henley, Jon; Henley, Jon (11 December 2025). "Bulgarian government resigns after mass anti-corruption protests". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 11 December 2025.
- ^ "Пеевски не вижда проблем със стабилността на кабинета, той ще го крепи". 16 April 2025.
- ^ "Конституционният съд обяви за незаконен избора на 16 депутати, "Величие" влиза в НС". Mediapool.bg (in Bulgarian). 13 March 2025. Retrieved 13 March 2025.
- ^ BNT (13 March 2025). "КС обяви за незаконен избора на 16 народни представители, "Величие" влиза в парламента". Bulgarian National Television.