2026 South Australian state election
21 March 2026
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 47 seats in the House of Assembly 24 seats needed for a majority 11 of 22 seats in the Legislative Council | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Map of House of Assembly electorates. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 2026 South Australian state election will be held on Saturday, 21 March 2026, to elect members to the 56th Parliament of South Australia. All 47 seats in the House of Assembly will be up for election, along with 11 of the 22 seats in the Legislative Council.
The incumbent Labor majority government, led by Premier Peter Malinauskas, will seek a second four-year term in government. They will be challenged by the Liberal Party, led by Opposition Leader Ashton Hurn, who took leadership of the party[1] following the resignation of Vincent Tarzia on 5 December 2025[2]. It is expected that the South Australian Greens and other minor parties and independents will contest the election.
South Australia has compulsory voting, with full-preference instant-runoff voting for single-member electorates in the lower house, and optional preference single transferable voting in the proportionally represented upper house. The election will be conducted by the Electoral Commission of South Australia (ECSA), an independent body answerable to Parliament, and will be held on the same day as the South Australian First Nations Voice election.[3][4]
Background
At the 2022 election, the South Australian Labor Party won government after spending four years in opposition. The party, led by Peter Malinauskas, gained 8 seats to have a four-seat majority in the House of Assembly, while the incumbent South Australian Liberal Party government, led by Premier Steven Marshall, lost a total of nine seats to Labor and independents. Statewide the Labor Party won 54.59% of the two-party preferred vote, which was a swing of over 6.5%.[5][6][7][8]
In the Legislative Council, Labor won five seats, the Liberals won four and the Greens and One Nation both won one seat each. As a result, the Labor government held a total of nine seats and the Liberal held eight, with five on the crossbench, including two Greens, two SA-Best representatives and a single One Nation seat held by Sarah Game.[5][6][7] Following the election, the Presidency of the council was unexpectedly retained by Liberal MLC Terry Stephens, meaning the Labor government required an additional two non-government votes for passage of legislation.[5][6][7]
By-elections
Three by-elections have been held during the parliament's four-year term. A by-election in Bragg was held in July 2022 and the seat was retained by the Liberals. In March 2024 the Labor Party gained the seat of Dunstan, which had belonged to former Liberal Premier Steven Marshall. Labor's majority therefore increased by one, though when Leon Bignell was elected to the position of Speaker of the Assembly the following month, the party composition returned to its post-election state, as the Speaker is required to renounce party ties for the duration of their speakership.[9]
Labor again gained when the party won the November 2024 by-election in the seat of Black, recording a double-digit swing. The result reduced the Liberals to 13 members in the lower house, their worst parliamentary position in nearly a century.[10]
Legislative Council changes
As of May 2025, there have been four alterations to the post-election party composition in the Legislative Council. SA-Best MLC Frank Pangallo left the party and moved to the crossbench to sit as an independent in December 2023.[11] Liberal MLC Jing Lee became an independent and moved to the crossbench in January 2025,[12] and Greens MLC Tammy Franks quit the party and sat as an independent in May 2025.[13] Pangallo joined the Liberal Party in August 2025.[14]
Candidates
Retiring MPs
Labor
- Susan Close MHA (Port Adelaide) – announced 18 September 2025[15]
- Stephen Mullighan MHA (Lee) – announced 18 September 2025[15]
- Lee Odenwalder MHA (Elizabeth) – announced 9 October 2025[16]
- Dana Wortley MHA (Torrens) – announced 9 October 2025[16]
- Leon Bignell MHA (Mawson) – announced 27 November 2025[17]
Liberal
- John Gardner MHA (Morialta) – announced 13 December 2024[18]
- David Pisoni MHA (Unley) – announced 8 October 2024[19]
- Matt Cowdrey MHA (Colton) – announced 27 June 2025[20]
Independent
- Tammy Franks MLC – announced 30 September 2024[21]
- Dan Cregan MHA (Kavel) – announced 28 January 2025[22]
Political parties
As of 26 October 2025, the following political parties are registered by the Electoral Commission of South Australia:[23]
| Name | Date of registration | House of Assembly seats | Legislative Council seats | 2022 results[24] | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HA | LC | |||||
| Labor | 17 October 1985 | 29 / 47
|
9 / 22
|
40.0% | 37.0% | |
| Liberal | 17 October 1985 | 13 / 47
|
8 / 22
|
35.7% | 34.0% | |
| Greens | 13 February 1996 | 0 / 47
|
1 / 22
|
9.1% | 9.0% | |
| SA-Best | 4 July 2017 | 0 / 47
|
1 / 22
|
0.2% | 1.0% | |
| Jing Lee - Better Community | 22 May 2025 | 0 / 47
|
1 / 22
|
Did not exist | ||
| Sarah Game Fair Go | 24 July 2025 | 0 / 47
|
1 / 22
|
Did not exist | ||
| One Nation | 16 September 2021 | 0 / 47
|
0 / 22
|
2.6% | 4.2% | |
| Family First | 13 January 2022 | 0 / 47
|
0 / 22
|
3.7% | 3.1% | |
| Legalise Cannabis | 27 January 2022 | 0 / 47
|
0 / 22
|
N/A | 2.1% | |
| Animal Justice | 24 November 2016 | 0 / 47
|
0 / 22
|
0.6% | 1.5% | |
| Real Change | 20 January 2022 | 0 / 47
|
0 / 22
|
N/A | 0.9% | |
| National | 17 October 1985 | 0 / 47
|
0 / 22
|
0.5% | 0.7% | |
| United Voice Australia | 27 March 2025 | 0 / 47
|
0 / 22
|
Did not exist | ||
| For Unley | 28 August 2025 | 0 / 47
|
0 / 22
|
Did not exist | ||
| Libertarian Party SA | 9 October 2025 | 0 / 47
|
0 / 22
|
Did not contest[b] | ||
| SA Socialists | 23 October 2025 | 0 / 47
|
0 / 22
|
Did not exist | ||
Pendulum
The pendulum includes mid-term affiliation changes and by-election outcomes, in particular the Dunstan by-election and Black by-election which saw Labor take both seats away from the Liberals.
Italics indicates that the member is retiring.
Redistributed notional pendulum
A redistribution, required after each election, was finalised by the South Australian Electoral Districts Boundaries Commission in December 2024. The below post-redistribution pendulum shows all seats by their redistributed Labor or Liberal notional two-party-preferred margin, and does not take in to account by-election swings since the last election.[25][26]
Italics indicates that the member is retiring.
|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Date
The last state election was held on 19 March 2022 to elect members for the House of Assembly and half of the members in the Legislative Council. In South Australia, section 28 of the Constitution Act 1934, as amended in 2001, directs that parliaments have fixed four-year terms, and elections must be held on the third Saturday in March every four years unless this date falls the day after Good Friday, occurs within the same month as a federal election, or the conduct of the election could be adversely affected by a state disaster. Section 28 also states that the Governor may also dissolve the Assembly and call an election for an earlier date if the government has lost the confidence of the Assembly or a bill of special importance has been rejected by the Legislative Council. Section 41 states that both the Council and the Assembly may also be dissolved simultaneously if a deadlock occurs between them.[27]
The Electoral (Miscellaneous) Amendment Act 2013[28] introduced set dates for writs for general elections in South Australia. The writ sets the dates for the close of the electoral roll and the close of nominations for an election. The Electoral Act 1985 requires that, for a general election, the writ be issued 28 days before the date fixed for polling (S47(2a)) and the electoral roll be closed at 12 noon, six days after the issue of the writ (S48(3(a)(i))). The close of nominations will be at 12 noon three days after the close of rolls (Electoral Act 1985 S48(4)(a) and S4(1)).[29][30][31]
| Date | Event |
|---|---|
| 21 February 2026 | Issue of writs |
| 27 February 2026 | Close of rolls |
| 2 March 2026 | Close and declaration of nominations |
| 14 March 2026 | Early voting opens |
| 21 March 2026 | Polling day |
Opinion polling
Voting intention
House of Assembly
| Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | TPP vote | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | LIB | GRN | FFP | ONP | SAB | OTH | ALP | LIB | |||
| 8 Dec 2025 | Ashton Hurn is elected as Liberal leader and leader of the opposition | ||||||||||
| 5 Dec 2025 | Vincent Tarzia resigns as Liberal leader and leader of the opposition | ||||||||||
| 24 Nov – 5 Dec 2025 | Fox & Hedgehog[32] | 1,000 | 41% | 21% | 12% | N/a | 13% | N/a | 13% | 61% | 39% |
| 6–15 Oct 2025 | DemosAU[33][34][35] | 1,006 | 47% | 21% | 13% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 19% | 66% | 34% |
| 15–28 May 2025 | YouGov[36] | 1,004 | 48% | 21% | 14% | N/a | 7% | N/a | 10% | 67% | 33% |
| 18–23 Feb 2025 | DemosAU[37][38] | 903 | 43% | 30% | 10% | N/a | N/a | N/a | 17% | 59% | 41% |
| 6–29 Aug 2024 | Wolf & Smith[39][40] | 856 | 41% | 28% | 11% | 3% | 5% | N/a | 12% | 60% | 40% |
| 12 Aug 2024 | Vincent Tarzia becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition | ||||||||||
| 11–20 Sep 2022 | Dynata[41] | 616 | 34% | 34% | 13% | N/a | 5% | 6% | 8% | 53% | 47% |
| 19 Mar 2022 | 2022 election | 40.0% | 35.7% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 8.7% | 54.6% | 45.1% | |
Legislative Council
| Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | LIB | GRN | FFP | ONP | SAB | OTH | |||
| 6–15 Oct 2025 | DemosAU[33][34][35] | 1,006 | 37% | 17% | 11% | 3% | 12% | 4% | 16%[c] |
| 11–20 Sep 2022 | Dynata[41] | 616 | 35% | 32% | 13% | N/a | 4% | 7% | 9% |
| 19 Mar 2022 | 2022 election | 37.0% | 34.4% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 11.3% | |
Leadership approval
| Date | Firm | Preferred Premier | Malinauskas | Speirs/Tarzia/Ashton Hurn | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malinauskas | Tarzia | Undecided | Net | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Undecided | Net | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Undecided | Net | ||
| 8 Dec 2025 | Ashton Hurn elected as Liberal leader and leader of the opposition | ||||||||||||
| 5 Dec 2025 | Vincent Tarzia resigns as Liberal leader and leader of the opposition | ||||||||||||
| 24 Nov – 5 Dec 2025 | Fox & Hedgehog [32] | 54% | 18% | 28% | 36% | 51% | 19% | 25% | +26% | 17% | 25% | 36% | -8% |
| 6–15 Oct 2025 | DemosAU[33][34][35] | 58% | 19% | 23% | 39% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a |
| 15–28 May 2025 | YouGov[36] | 72% | 14% | 14% | 58% | 70% | 18% | 12% | +52% | 22% | 31% | 47% | -9% |
| 18–23 Feb 2025 | DemosAU[37] | 51% | 23% | 26% | 28% | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a |
| 12 Aug 2024 | Vincent Tarzia becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition | ||||||||||||
| 11–20 Sep 2022 | Dynata[41] | N/a | N/a | N/a | N/a | 74% | 13% | 13% | +61% | 51% | 19% | 30% | +32% |
Party approval
| Date | Firm | Sample size |
Labor | Liberal | One Nation | Family First | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos. | Neg. | Net | Pos. | Neg. | Net | Pos. | Neg. | Net | Pos. | Neg. | Net | |||
| 24 Nov – 5 Dec 2025 | Fox & Hedgehog[32] | 1,000 | 43% | 27% | +16% | 25% | 36% | –11% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 26% | 24% | +2% |
See also
- Members of the South Australian House of Assembly, 2022–2026
- Members of the South Australian Legislative Council, 2022–2026
Notes
- ^ a b
- In July 2023, MacKillop MHA Nick McBride left the Liberals to sit as an independent.
- In March 2024, Labor gained Dunstan from the Liberals at a by-election.
- In April 2024, Labor MHA Leon Bignell was elected Speaker and moved to sit as an independent.
- In November 2024, Labor gained Black from the Liberals at a by-election.
- The seat of Mount Gambier became vacant in September 2025 following the resignation of independent MHA Troy Bell.
- In September 2025, Independent MHA Leon Bignell rejoined Labor.
- ^
- Contested the 2022 South Australian state election as the Liberal Democratic Party
- ^ 16% for "other":
- Animal Justice: 4%
- Legalise Cannabis: 4%
- Australian Family Party: 3%
- Real Change SA: 2%
- Nationals: 1%
- Sarah Game Fair Go: 1%
- United Voice Australia: 1%
- Jing Lee – Better Community: 0%
References
- ^ "Ashton Hurn confirmed as SA Liberal leader months out from March election". abc.net.au. ABC News. Retrieved 8 December 2025.
- ^ "Vincent Tarzia relinquishes Liberal leadership - News | InDaily, Inside South Australia". www.indailysa.com.au. 5 December 2025. Retrieved 5 December 2025.
- ^ "Key dates". 2024 South Australian First Nations Voice election.
- ^ Keane, Daniel (29 March 2024). "SA First Nations Voice election results show low turnout, but candidate urges 'give us a chance'". ABC News. Retrieved 6 April 2024.
- ^ a b c Harmsen, Nick; Tomevska, Sara (3 May 2022). "Liberal Terry Stephens returned as SA Legislative Council President with support of Greens and Labor". ABC News. Retrieved 27 March 2023.
- ^ a b c Richardson, Tom (3 May 2022). "'Beggars belief': Labor coup sidelines Libs, crossbench". Retrieved 27 March 2023.
- ^ a b c "SA 2022 – Legislative Council Result Finalised". Antony Green's Election Blog. 27 April 2022. Retrieved 27 March 2023.
- ^ Green, Antony (19 March 2022). "2022 South Australian Election – Post Election Thread". Antony Green's Election Blog. Retrieved 3 March 2025.
- ^ McClaren, Rory; Biggs, Harvey (11 April 2024). "Independent MP Dan Cregan to join SA Labor cabinet as minister's resignation triggers reshuffle". ABC News. Archived from the original on 19 February 2025. Retrieved 14 January 2025.
- ^ Hough, Andrew; McGuire, Michael (17 November 2024). "Black by-election: Liberal Party faces SA state election 'annihilation' after midterm whitewash result". The Advertiser.
- ^ "Adelaidenow.com.au | Subscribe to The Advertiser for exclusive stories". www.adelaidenow.com.au. Retrieved 19 March 2025.
- ^ Mason, Olivia (11 January 2025). "Jing Lee announces immediate resignation from SA Liberal party to become Independent MLC". ABC News. Archived from the original on 26 January 2025. Retrieved 14 January 2025.
- ^ Gus Macdonald (13 May 2025). "South Australian Greens co-leader quits party, claiming internal sabotage". 9news.com.au.
- ^ Karakulak, Helen (18 August 2025). "Libs make 'worst-kept secret' partnership official". InDaily. Archived from the original on 18 August 2025. Retrieved 18 August 2025.
Pangallo will officially join the party from Tuesday, filling its ranks in the Legislative Council, before aiming to switch houses and win the spot as Waite's MP at the March election.
- ^ a b "Kyam Maher to be deputy premier after Susan Close, Stephen Mullighan to quit politics". ABC News. 18 September 2025.
- ^ a b Hill, Aden (9 October 2025). "Labor stalwarts Lee Odenwalder and Dana Wortley to retire at next election". The Advertiser. Archived from the original on 9 October 2025.
- ^ "Long-time SA Labor MP Leon Bignell to quit politics at March election". ABC News. 27 November 2025.
- ^ Kelsall, Thomas (13 December 2024). "Liberal deputy leader John Gardner to leave parliament". InDaily. Retrieved 28 March 2025.
- ^ Starick, Paul (8 October 2024). "Former Liberal minister David Pisoni expected to be replaced in Unley by Rosalie Rotolo-Hassan". The Advertiser. Retrieved 8 October 2024.
- ^ https://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/south-australia/liberal-frontbencher-matt-cowdrey-to-retire-from-politics-at-next-years-sa-state-election/news-story/559f7b0762c015c8e7d72786533cf7f2
- ^ Franks, Tammy [@TammyMLC] (30 September 2024). "SA Greens nominations for the LegCo preselection open today. I've enjoyed much of my time in #saparli but I won't be going for a further term" (Tweet). Archived from the original on 30 September 2024. Retrieved 30 September 2024 – via Twitter.
- ^ "SA minister Dan Cregan leaves cabinet ahead of retirement from politics". ABC News. 28 January 2025. Archived from the original on 15 February 2025. Retrieved 11 February 2025.
- ^ "Register of political parties". Electoral Commission of South Australia. Archived from the original on 26 October 2025. Retrieved 26 October 2025.
- ^ "South Australian Election Results". Electoral Commission of South Australia. Archived from the original on 16 September 2025. Retrieved 19 October 2025.
- ^ Biggs, Harvey (13 December 2024). "Electorate of Frome to be renamed 'Ngadjuri' as part of 2026 SA election redistribution after concerns about namesake Edward Frome". ABC News. Retrieved 14 January 2025.
- ^ Raue, Ben (13 December 2024) SA redistribution finalised: The Tally Room. Retrieved 15 January 2025.
- ^ Lundie, Rob (30 May 2012). "Australian elections timetable". Background Note. Department of Parliamentary Services. p. 7. Archived from the original on 11 June 2024. Retrieved 5 February 2013 – via Parliamentary Library.
- ^ Electoral (Miscellaneous) Amendment Act 2013 (SA)
- ^ Electoral Act 1985 (SA) s 47 Issue of writ
- ^ Electoral Act 1985 (SA) s 48 Contents of writ
- ^ Electoral Act 1985 (SA) s 4 Interpretation
- ^ a b c Starick, Paul (6 December 2025). "Exclusive poll: Just 10pc of voters approve of likely Liberal leader Ashton Hurn". The Advertiser. Archived from the original on 6 December 2025. Retrieved 6 December 2025.
- ^ a b c "Soaring SA Labor vote pushes Libs to the edge". DemosAU. 21 October 2025. Archived from the original on 21 October 2025. Retrieved 21 October 2025.
- ^ a b c "South Australian Poll" (PDF). DemosAU. 21 October 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on 21 October 2025. Retrieved 21 October 2025.
- ^ a b c Gilchrist, Charlie (21 October 2025). "Top pollie's seat in doubt in exclusive pre-election polling". InDaily. Archived from the original on 21 October 2025. Retrieved 21 October 2025.
- ^ a b Bowe, William (21 June 2025). "YouGov: 67-33 to Labor in South Australia". The Poll Bludger. Retrieved 21 June 2025.
- ^ a b Bowe, William (3 March 2025). "DemosAU: 59-41 to Labor in South Australia". The Poll Bludger. Archived from the original on 3 March 2025. Retrieved 3 March 2025.
- ^ "South Australia Poll: Strong lead for SA LABOR". demosau.com. 3 March 2025. Retrieved 20 March 2025.
- ^ "Federal & State Political Poll" (PDF). Wolf & Smith. August 2024. Archived from the original (PDF) on 19 February 2025. Retrieved 8 June 2025.
- ^ Bowe, William (8 September 2024). "Polls: Resolve Strategic, RedBridge/Accent MRP poll, Wolf & Smith federal and state (open thread) – The Poll Bludger". www.pollbludger.net. Retrieved 9 September 2024.
- ^ a b c Richards, Stephanie (28 September 2022). "Poll shows Labor's honeymoon not over". InDaily. Archived from the original on 20 April 2024. Retrieved 23 April 2023.