2024 Indian general election in Jammu and Kashmir

2024 Indian general election in Jammu and Kashmir

19 April - 25 May 2024

All 5 Jammu and Kashmir seats in the Lok Sabha
Opinion polls
Turnout58.46% (18.10%)
  First party Second party
 
Leader Jitendra Singh Omar Abdullah
Party BJP JKNC
Alliance NDA INDIA
Leader since 2014 2009
Leader's seat Udhampur (Won) Baramulla (Lost)
Last election 2 3
Seats won 2 2
Seat change 1
Percentage 24.36% 22.30%
Swing 2.01% 14.43%

  Third party Fourth party
 
Leader Raman Bhalla Mehbooba Mufti
Party INC JKPDP
Alliance INDIA INDIA[a]
Leader since 2022 2009
Leader's seat Jammu (Lost) Anantnag–Rajouri (Lost)
Last election 0 0
Seats won 0 0
Seat change
Percentage 19.38% 8.48%
Swing 9.92% 4.91%


Prime Minister before election

Narendra Modi
BJP

Prime Minister after election

Narendra Modi
BJP

The 2024 Indian general election was held in Jammu and Kashmir in 5 phases from 19 April to 20 May 2024 to elect 5 members of the 18th Lok Sabha.[1][2] The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and Jammu and Kashmir National Conference (JKNC) won 2 seats each, with BJP winning the single largest share of the popular vote at 24.36% and JKNC coming second at 22.30%. One seat was won by an independent candidate.

Election schedule

Poll event Phase
I II III IV V
Notification date 20 March 28 March 12 April 18 April 26 April
Last date for filing nomination 27 March 4 April 19 April 25 April 3 May
Scrutiny of nomination 28 March 5 April 20 April 26 April 4 May
Last Date for withdrawal of nomination 30 March 8 April 22 April 29 April 6 May
Date of poll 19 April 26 April 25 May[b] 13 May 20 May
Date of counting of votes/Result 4 June 2024
No. of constituencies 1 1 1 1 1

Parties and alliances

Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance

  Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance

Party Flag Symbol Leader Seats contested
Jammu & Kashmir National Conference Farooq Abdullah 3
Indian National Congress Raman Bhalla 2
Total 5

National Democratic Alliance

  National Democratic Alliance

Party Flag Symbol Leader Seats contested
Bharatiya Janata Party Jitendra Singh 2
Total 2

Others

Recognised parties
Party Flag Symbol Leader Seats contested
Jammu and Kashmir People's Democratic Party Mehbooba Mufti 3
Jammu and Kashmir National Panthers Party Harsh Dev Singh 5
Bahujan Samaj Party 2
All India Forward Bloc 2
Total 12
Unrecognised parties
Party Symbol Seats contested
Jammu and Kashmir Nationalist People's Front 3
National Loktantrik Party 3
Democratic Progressive Azad Party 2
Ekam Sanatan Bharat Dal 2
Jammu and Kashmir Apni Party 2
Jammu and Kashmir People's Conference 2
National Awami United Party 2
Bharat Jodo Party 1
Gana Suraksha Party 1
Garib Democratic Party 1
Hindustan Shakti Sena 1
National Youth Party 1
Rashtriya Jankranti Party 1
Total 22

Candidates

Constituency
INDIA NDA
1 Baramulla JKNC Omar Abdullah[3] JKPDP Fayaz Ahmad Mir DNC
2 Srinagar JKNC Aga Syed Ruhullah Mehdi JKPDP Waheed Parra
3 Anantnag–Rajouri JKNC Mian Altaf Ahmed Larvi JKPDP Mehbooba Mufti[3]
4 Udhampur INC Chaudhary Lal Singh DNC BJP Jitendra Singh
5 Jammu INC Raman Bhalla BJP Jugal Kishore Sharma

Surveys and polls

Opinion polls

Polling agency Date published Margin of error Lead
INDIA NDA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024[4] ±3-5% 3 2 0 INDIA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 2-3 1-3 0-1 INDIA
ABP News-CVoter March 2024[5] ±5% 3 2 0 INDIA
India Today-CVoter February 2024[6] ±3-5% 3 2 0 INDIA
Times Now-ETG December 2023 ±3% 2-3 1-3 0-1 INDIA
India TV-CNX October 2023 ±3% 2 2 1 Tie between INDIA and NDA
Times Now-ETG September 2023 ±3% 3-4 1-2 0-1 INDIA
August 2023 ±3% 2-3 1-3 0-1 INDIA
Polling agency Date published Margin of error Lead
NDA INDIA Others
ABP News-CVoter April 2024[7] ±3-5% 47% 44.9% 8.1% 3.1
ABP News-CVoter March 2024[5] ±5% 41.4% 51.5% 7.1% 10.1
India Today-CVoter February 2024[8] ±3-5% 49% 36% 15% 13

Exit polls

Polling agency Lead
NDA INDIA Others
TV9 Bharatvarsh- People's Insight - Polstrat 2 2 1 Tie
Actual results 2 2 1 Tie

Voter turnout

Constituencies in phases

Constituency Poll Date Turnout Swing
1 Baramulla 20 May 2024 59.10% 24.60
2 Srinagar 13 May 2024 38.49% 24.06
3 Anantnag–Rajouri 25 May 2024 55.40% New
4 Udhampur 19 April 2024 68.27% 2.74
5 Jammu 26 April 2024 72.22% 0.28
Total 58.58% 18.1

Results

Results by alliance or party

Alliance/ Party Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Contested Won +/−
INDIA JKNC 11,39,084 22.30 14.09 3 2 1
INC 9,90,182 19.38 9.92 2 0
Total 21,29,266 41.68 4.17 5 2 1
JKPDP 4,33,049 8.48 4.91 3[c] 0
NDA BJP 12,44,404 24.36 2.01 2 2
Others 31 0
IND 59 1 1
NOTA 34,249 0.67
Total 100% - 100 5 -

Results by constituency

Constituency Turnout Winner Runner-up Margin
Candidate Party Votes % Candidate Party Votes % Votes %
1 Baramulla 59.10% Abdul Rashid Sheikh IND 4,72,481 45.70% Omar Abdullah JKNC 2,68,339 25.95% 2,04,142 19.75%
2 Srinagar 38.49% Aga Syed Ruhullah Mehdi JKNC 3,56,866 52.85% Waheed Para JKPDP 1,68,450 24.95% 1,88,416 27.90%
3 Anantnag–Rajouri 55.40% Mian Altaf Ahmed Larvi JKNC 5,21,836 50.85% Mehbooba Mufti JKPDP 2,40,042 23.39% 2,81,794 27.46%
4 Udhampur 68.27% Jitendra Singh BJP 5,71,076 51.28% Chaudhary Lal Singh INC 4,46,703 40.11% 1,24,373 11.17%
5 Jammu 72.22% Jugal Kishore Sharma BJP 6,87,588 52.80% Raman Bhalla INC 5,52,090 42.40% 1,35,498 10.40%

Strike-rate

Strike rate is determined by calculating the number of seats won by a party of the number of seats it contested. BJP had a 100% strike rate (It won both the seats it contested). JKNC had a 66.67% strike rate (it won 2 out of 3 seats it contested). Congress and JKPDP had a strike rate of 0% (they lost all the seats they contested.

Assembly segments wise lead of Parties

Map needed

Party Assembly segments Position in Assembly (as of 2024 election)
Jammu & Kashmir National Conference 36 42
Bharatiya Janata Party 29 29
Indian National Congress 7 6
Jammu and Kashmir Peoples Democratic Party 5 3
Jammu and Kashmir People's Conference 1 1
Others 12 9
Total 90

References

  1. ^ "With local body polls not in sight, J&K parties gear up for Lok Sabha 2024". Hindustan Times. 14 November 2023.
  2. ^ "J&K elections likely to held along with Lok Sabha polls next year". The Economic Times. 26 July 2023.
  3. ^ a b The Hindu (4 June 2024). "Kashmir election 2024: Omar Abdullah, Mehboba Mufti concede defeat in Jammu and Kashmir". Archived from the original on 4 June 2024. Retrieved 4 June 2024.
  4. ^ "ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll: In First Poll Since Article 370 Abrogation, Tight Contest Between NDA And I.N.D.I.A Alliance In J&K". ABP News. 16 April 2024. Retrieved 18 April 2024.
  5. ^ a b ABP News Bureau (12 March 2024). "I.N.D.I.A Alliance To Win 3 Out Of 5 Lok Sabha Seats In Jammu And Kashmir, Says Survey". news.abplive.com. Retrieved 17 March 2024.
  6. ^ "INDIA bloc likely to win 166 Lok Sabha seats and Congress 71, finds survey: What numbers say". Mint. 8 February 2024. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
  7. ^ "ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll: In First Poll Since Article 370 Abrogation, Tight Contest Between NDA And I.N.D.I.A Alliance In J&K". ABP News. 16 April 2024. Retrieved 18 April 2024.
  8. ^ Kalita, Karishma Saurabh (8 February 2024). "Mood for Jammu and Kashmir, 3 Lok Sabha seats for INDIA, 2 for NDA: Survey". India Today. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
  1. ^ Was part of INDIA bloc but did not contest under it.
  2. ^ Polling in Anantnag-Rajouri constituency in J&K was rescheduled from 7 May 2024 (Phase 3) to 25 May 2024 (Phase 6) due to weather conditions.
  3. ^ Was part of INDIA bloc but did not contest under it.