2012 United States Senate election in Wyoming

2012 United States Senate election in Wyoming

November 6, 2012
Turnout58.9% (voting eligible)[1]
 
Nominee John Barrasso Tim Chesnut
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 185,250 53,019
Percentage 75.66% 21.65%

County results
Barrasso:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. senator before election

John Barrasso
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Barrasso
Republican

The 2012 United States Senate election in Wyoming took place on November 6, 2012, alongside a U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator John Barrasso won re-election to a first full term.

The primary elections were held on August 21, 2012.

Background

Republican state senator John Barrasso was appointed to the U.S. Senate on June 22, 2007, by then-governor Dave Freudenthal after U.S. Senator Craig Thomas died on June 4, 2007.[2]

Barrasso defeated Nick Carter with 73.4% of the vote in a 2008 special election to serve the remainder of the senatorial term. He was highly popular in the state, with 69% of voters approving of him.[3]

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Barrasso (incumbent) 73,516 89.9
Republican Thomas Bleming 5,080 6.2
Republican Emmett Mavy 2,873 3.5
Republican Write-in 279 0.3
Total votes 81,748 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tim Chesnut 9,173 53.7
Democratic Al Hamburg 4,630 27.1
Democratic William Bryk 3,047 17.8
Democratic Write-in 222 1.3
Total votes 17,072 100

General election

Candidates

  • John Barrasso (Republican), incumbent U.S. senator
  • Tim Chesnut (Democratic), member of the Albany County Board of Commissioners
  • Joel Otto (Wyoming Country), rancher[11]

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Solid R November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[14] Safe R November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[15] Safe R November 5, 2012

Polling

Hypothetical polling

John Barrasso vs. Dave Freudenthal

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Barrasso (R)
Dave
Freudenthal (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[16] January 4–5, 2011 1,039 ±3.0% 56% 36% 9%

Results

United States Senate election in Wyoming, 2012[17]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican John Barrasso (incumbent) 185,250 75.66% +2.31%
Democratic Tim Chesnut 53,019 21.65% −4.88%
Wyoming Country Joel Otto 6,176 2.52% N/A
n/a Write-ins 417 0.17% +0.05%
Total votes 244,862 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

By county

Vote breakdown by county
John Barrasso
Republican
Tim Chestnut
Democrat
All Others
County Votes % Votes % Votes %
Albany 9,096 57.0% 6,469 40.5%' 406 2.5%
Big Horn 4,560 86.6% 554 10.5% `54 2.9%
Campbell 15,028 87.0% 1,668 9.7% 572 3.3%
Carbon 4,864 76.0% 1,405 22.0% 131 2.0%
Converse 5,365 85.3% 772 12.3% 151 2.4%
Crook 3,177 87.3% 348 9.6% 116 3.3%
Fremont 12,369 74.2% 3,767 22.6% 538 3.2%
Goshen 4,633 80.7% 944 16.4% 162 2.8%
Hot Springs 2,078 83.2% 354 14.2% 67 2.7%
Johnson 3,634 86.2% 492 11.7% 91 2.1%
Laramie 26,712 69.0% 10,950 28.3% 1,026 2.7%
Lincoln 7,230 85.2% 1,070 12.6% 188 2.2%
Natrona 24,431 76.6% 6,533 20.5% 924 2.9%
Niobrara 1,110 87.8% 124 9.8% 30 2.4%
Park 11,789 82.1% 2,183 15.2% 385 2.6%
Platte 3,420 76.2% 905 20.2% 165 3.7%
Sheridan 11,174 78.9% 2,757 19.5% 230 1.6%
Sublette 3,631 84.2% 576 13.4% 103 2.4%
Sweetwater 12,399 74.6% 3,778 22.7% 452 2.7%
Teton 5,562 50.7% 5,140 46.9% 267 2.5%
Uinta 6,780 80.9% 1,365 16.3% 238 2.8%
Washakie 3,321 84.6% 529 13.5% 74 1.9%
Weston 2,887 86.3% 336 10.0% 123 3.7%

See also

References

  1. ^ Dr. Michael McDonald (February 9, 2013). "2012 General Election Turnout Rates". George Mason University. Archived from the original on April 24, 2013. Retrieved April 3, 2013.
  2. ^ Kraushaar, Josh (June 22, 2007). "State senator John Barrasso appointed to fill vacant Wyoming Senate seat". Politico. Retrieved June 3, 2012.
  3. ^ "Freudenthal massively popular but trails Barrasso for Sen" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. January 10, 2011. Retrieved May 20, 2012.
  4. ^ McCarty, Alicia (November 8, 2011). "A look ahead to the key races in the West in 2012". USA Today. Retrieved May 20, 2012.
  5. ^ Pelzer, Jeremy (October 17, 2011). "Former Wyoming soldier of fortune's new target: U.S. Senate". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved May 20, 2012.
  6. ^ Sandoval, Daniel (November 6, 2011). "Soldier of Fortune Challenges Barrasso [AUDIO]". K2 Radio. Retrieved May 20, 2012.
  7. ^ a b c Pelzer, Jeremy (June 1, 2012). "U.S. Senate primaries set". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 3, 2012.
  8. ^ a b "Statewide Candidates Official Summary" (PDF). Secretary of State of Wyoming. Retrieved September 16, 2012.
  9. ^ Pelzer, Jeremy (May 30, 2012). "Wyoming county commissioner enters U.S. Senate race". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 3, 2012.
  10. ^ Pelzer, Jeremy (April 22, 2012). "Wyoming Democrats mull Senate run despite party ambivalence". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved May 20, 2012.
  11. ^ Brown, Trevor (August 29, 2012). "Lander resident seeks U.S. Senate bid". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Archived from the original on February 9, 2013. Retrieved September 16, 2012.
  12. ^ "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on August 29, 2018. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  13. ^ "2012 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  14. ^ "2012 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  15. ^ "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
  16. ^ Public Policy Polling
  17. ^ 2012 elections. Statewide candidates

Official campaign websites